Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 272338
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
638 PM CDT MON APR 27 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NE OK W/ A BETTER
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEARER KMLC. VFR TO PERIODIC MVFR
CATEGORIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING. PRECIP WILL EXPAND
AS IT SHIFTS SOUTHWARD LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUES MORNING WITH
LOWERING CEILINGS FOR SE OK / WESTERN AR. CONDITIONS IMPROVE FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 PM CDT MON APR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A LARGE RAIN SHIELD IS ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AT THIS HOUR
AS A MID-LEVEL LOW SPINS ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA.
THE RAIN WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS EVENING AND INTO
TONIGHT. THE RAIN WILL TAPER ON TUESDAY AS THE MID-LEVEL LOW
MOVES EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND
AN INCH ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WITH LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE NORTH.
THERE COULD BE A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THAT
COULD SEE UPWARDS OF THREE INCHES OF RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM WHICH
COULD LEAD LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND
ALOFT REIGNS SUPREME. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL ALSO
TAKE PLACE DURING THIS TIME-FRAME.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LATE IN THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEKEND AS THE A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   47  64  47  74 /  90  30   0  10
FSM   48  60  44  73 /  90  70  10  10
MLC   49  59  46  72 /  80  50  10  10
BVO   45  67  44  75 /  70  20   0  10
FYV   45  60  40  69 /  80  40  10  10
BYV   45  60  43  69 /  40  30  10  10
MKO   47  62  44  71 /  90  50   0  10
MIO   45  65  44  72 /  50  20   0  10
F10   48  61  46  71 /  90  50  10  10
HHW   50  58  44  71 /  90  60  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...07





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