Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 152120
AFDBIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
320 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 320 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES LOW OVER THE MIDWEST WITH HIGH
OVER CENTRAL MANITOBA/SASKATCHEWAN INTO CENTRAL MONTANA. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS PLACES CUT OFF LOW SLIDING ALONG THE MISSOURI/IOWA
BORDER WITH TROUGH ALONG THE MANITOBA/ONTARIO BORDER INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS...WHILE RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE GREAT BASIN INTO
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. MOST PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED OVER THE
AREA...THOUGH SOME AREAS OF FLURRIES CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH.

FOR TONIGHT...MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH WINDS
SLOWLY DECREASING AS SURFACE LOW SHIFTS EAST AND HIGH SHIFTS INTO
THE AREA. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA KEEPING LOW
CLOUDS THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH A FEW FLURRIES.

ON TUESDAY...SKIES WILL START OUT CLOUDY...THOUGH WILL START TO
CLEAR OUT SOME LATER IN THE DAY AS RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE AREA.
WITH COOLER AIRMASS SETTLED OVER THE AREA HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 20S
MAINLY SOUTH AND WEST OF THE MISSOURI RIVER...TEENS ELSEWHERE.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 320 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

THE LONG TERM APPEARS RATHER BENIGN.

SPLIT FLOW WILL KEEP ALL THE ACTIVE WEATHER SOUTH OF NORTH DAKOTA.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE OF NORMAL (MID 20S THIS
TIME OF YEAR) THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. A MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES
IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...WITH A RETURN TO THE 30S AND MAYBE LOW
40S. SIMILAR TO LATE LAST WEEK...WEAK FLOW AND A MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER COULD LEAD TO RATHER CLOUDY AND FOGGY DAYS WITH A LACK OF
ANY REAL DRY ARCTIC AIR INTRUSION.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1208 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

WIDESPREAD MVFR TO IFR CIGS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. LCL FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON OVER FAR SOUTH CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.


&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JJS
LONG TERM...AJ
AVIATION...JJS








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