Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 172119

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
319 PM CST Fri Nov 17 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 319 PM CST Fri Nov 17 2017

In the short term, look for dwindling chances for precipitation this
afternoon and cooler conditions Saturday.

A west-to-east oriented surface front located along the border of
the Dakotas was slowly moving southward. Associated chances for
precipitation will gradually dissipate in southern areas through the
remainder of the afternoon. However, chances for precipitation
(mostly rain) are slight. RAP/HRRR BUFKIT soundings indicate dry air
at the surface was limiting mid/upper level moisture from reaching
the ground. Observations in the south confirm BUFKIT soundings with
no reports of precipitation.

As Saturday rolls around the aforementioned surface low will continue
a slow progression into SD with a surface high sliding southeast
into North Dakota from Saskatchewan. Cool Canadian air will
accompany the high, creating below average temperatures for most
locations in western and central ND. Forecast highs for the CWA will
range from the mid teens in the northeast, to the upper 30s in the

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 319 PM CST Fri Nov 17 2017

A roller coaster of temperatures is expected for the upcoming week.
Ridging over the area to start the week will bring warming
temperatures, with a dry clipper zipping through the region late
Monday into Tuesday bringing temperatures back down. Temperatures
then again climb for mid week into the Thanksgiving Holiday.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1146 AM CST Fri Nov 17 2017

Low VFR/MVFR ceilings are expected to move from northwest to
southeast across ND late tonight/early Saturday morning. KMOT/KJMS
and possibly KISN are likely to be impacted by low VFR/MVFR
ceilings. Also, in the latter 6 hours of the period, northwest winds
will become a little breezy.




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