Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS63 KBIS 241944
AFDBIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
244 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 244 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND REGIONAL RADAR INDICATIVE OF A
LARGE/BROAD MID/UPPER COUNTERCLOCKWISE CIRCULATION EMINATING FROM
A VERTICALLY STACKED UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA. THIS
WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST TONIGHT WITH A DEFORMATION ZONE REMAINING
NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA. WITH
INSTABILITY AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WANING THIS EVENING...WILL
CONTINUE END THE MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS AROUND 00Z. WILL MAINTAIN
NO MENTION OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY. HOWEVER AREAL COVERAGE OF RAIN
WILL INCREASE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY. A MID LEVEL/700MB
CLOSED LOW DEVELOPS IN THE FAR SOUTHERN JAMES RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT
AND THEN RETROGRADES A BIT TO THE WEST MONDAY...PUSHING LIGHT RAIN
FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA. WILL
FOLLOW THE SREF/NAM/GFS/ECMWF WITH LIKELY/CATEGORICAL POPS IN THE
ABOVE MENTIONED AREA.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 244 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

LIGHT RAIN CHANCES ABATE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA MONDAY
NIGHT...BUT SHIFT INTO NORTHWEST/NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH
TUESDAY. ANOTHER SIMILAR WET PATTERN RELOADS AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE THIS TIME WILL BE COLDER
H85 TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL GIVE MORE OF A RAIN/SNOW MIX...AND
POSSIBLY ALL SNOW IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS SOUTHWEST NORTH
DAKOTA. WPC SNOWFALL MAP SHOWS 1 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE SOUTHWEST
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOMEWHAT OF A BREAK IN THE
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...HOWEVER PERIODIC
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 244 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MIDDAY MONDAY
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ND. IN NORTHERN AREAS...FROM
KISN TO KMOT...MVFR CONDITIONS MAY PREVAIL. RAIN IS FORECAST FOR
MOST OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL ND THROUGH MONDAY...BUT THE CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH BY 00 UTC THIS EVENING. SOME SNOW IS
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING IN THE WEST AND NORTH.
FINALLY...EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS WHICH ARE GUSTING UP TO 35 KT AT
MIDDAY WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE BY TONIGHT.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KS
LONG TERM...KS
AVIATION...CJS



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.