Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 071736

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1136 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

Issued at 824 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

For mid-morning update have increased cloud cover over the area as
high clouds have spread over most of the area. Some low clouds
continue to linger mainly over the James River Valley. Have also
increased cloud cover for tonight as models continue to suggest a
surge of low cloud cover pushing into the James River Valley into
portions of central North Dakota.

UPDATE Issued at 619 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

No changes for today other than for observed trends through 12
UTC, blended to the 11 UTC National Blend of Models (NBM).


.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 254 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

Today will be considerably warmer than yesterday with temperatures
in the 20s and 30s. Cloud cover most of the day will keep
temperatures from climbing too high despite warm westerly mixing
winds. A weak and fast moving wave will traverse North Dakota
today, but little more than flurries seems likely given a lack of
focused ascent and upper level support. It will be a bit breezy
across the southwest which could lead to some patchy blowing snow

Tonight, clouds will clear from west to east, but despite
clearing skies temperatures may have a hard time falling below the
low 20s due to winds around 15 to 20 mph.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 254 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

The long term still appears quite and mild overall. A clipper may
move through Sunday night into Monday morning bringing a chance
for some light precipitation. Temperatures should generally range
from the low 30s east to low 40s west.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1135 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

VFR cigs with mainly mid level clouds at KMOT and KJMS this
afternoon, but MVFR/IFR stratus developing aft 00z at KJMS and aft
05z at KMOT. VFR with mid and high level clouds at KISN/KDIK/KBIS
through the 24-hour TAF period. Northwest wind gusts of 25-30 knots
are forecast across southwest North Dakota this afternoon affecting




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