Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 242122

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
322 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 228 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

Current surface analysis places low pushing through Kansas with
ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Upper level analysis places low
over the Nebraska Panhandle into southeastern Wyoming. Broad area
of snow continues over South Dakota, with the northern fringes
continuing to sneak into the far southern James River Valley.

For the rest of this afternoon into tonight...periods of light
snow will continue through the afternoon into early this evening over
the southern James River Valley as system continues its eastward
migration. Later this evening into the overnight a weak secondary
system over eastern Montana into Saskatchewan will rotate into the
area, resulting in low chances for light snow.

On Wednesday...chances for snow will continue as aforementioned
system slowly migrates over the area. Cooler air pulls in behind
the system bringing temperatures slightly below average.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 228 PM CST Tue
Jan 24 2017

Cool and quiet conditions expected on Thursday. Gradual warm-up
expected to end the week going into the weekend. A few weak
disturbances passing through the area may result in a little light
snow from time to time. Models continue to show a potent clipper
pushing through the area on Monday into Monday night. This is
quite a ways out, but if this pans out strong winds can be
expected along with cold temperatures.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1236 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

Widespread MVFR and occasional IFR ceilings will remain over west
and central North Dakota through much of the 18z TAF period. There
may be a few breaks with VFR ceilings this afternoon, but MVFR for
the most part this afternoon. An area of light snow will continue
this afternoon mainly south of KBIS and KJMS, but but little impact
to visibilities. Another impulse tonight will bring a chance of
mainly flurries across the TAF sites, but again with little impact
to visibilities.




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