Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 171025

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
425 AM CST Fri Nov 17 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 325 AM CST Fri Nov 17 2017

Current surface analysis places low over southeastern Manitoba,
with trough dipping down into the central plains. Upper level
analysis places compact low over central Manitoba, with west to
southwest flow over much of the western United States. Some light
spotty precipitation continues to show up on radar over southern
portions of the area, as broader area of freezing precipitation
has pushed off to the northeast.

For today, some light precipitation may continue over southern
portions of the area, but the threat for freezing rain and sleet
will diminish through the morning as cooler air aloft works in.
Temperatures will remain quite chilly to the northeast, warmer to
the southwest. Mainly quiet weather is expected tonight with cold
temperatures as high pressure settles in.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 325 AM CST Fri Nov 17 2017

A cooler day is expected on Saturday as high pressure continues to
settle through the area.

A roller coaster of temperatures is expected for the upcoming
week. Ridging over the area to start the week will bring warming
temperatures, with a dry clipper zipping through the region late
Monday into Tuesday bringing temperatures back down. Temperatures
then again climb for mid week into the Thanksgiving Holiday.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1147 PM CST Thu Nov 16 2017

At 1145 PM area of light precipitation extended from north
of KDIK to between KMOT/KBIS to Rolla/Rugby/Devils Lake area. This
light band of a mix of rain, freezing rain, or light snow is
expected to continue moving east and exit the Rolla/Rugby/Devils
Lake area after 08z. Mentioned VCSH with tempo -FZRASN at KMOT until
08z. Otherwise mainly VFR ceilings through the 06z TAF period.




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