Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 200321
AFDBIS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
921 PM CST Fri Jan 19 2018

.UPDATE...
Issued at 916 PM CST Fri Jan 19 2018

Some very light precipitation has been reported over southeast
Montana so have put in some very low chances over far southwest
North Dakota. Further east, soundings indicate a rather dry layer
between surface and cloud base, so any precipitation would have a
hard time making it to the surface. Therefore will keep remaining
areas dry.

UPDATE Issued at 559 PM CST Fri Jan 19 2018

Quiet weather continues over the area. Only change needed to
forecast was to increase cloud cover a bit to address high clouds
passing through.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 146 PM CST Fri Jan 19 2018

A front will stall out south of North Dakota tonight. We will
maintain westerly winds through tomorrow under mostly cloudy
skies. This should keep temperatures up into the 20s tonight.
Cooler air will begin filtering in tomorrow afternoon and we will
return to near normal conditions.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 146 PM CST Fri Jan 19 2018

The Monday storm continues to trend south and leave all of western
and central North Dakota dry. The GFS and Canadian models bring a
weak wave through on Tuesday night, but other than that it looks
like no real precipitation chances until next weekend.
Temperatures should remain near normal through the next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 559 PM CST Fri Jan 19 2018

VFR conditions expected through the forecast period.


&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JJS
SHORT TERM...AJ
LONG TERM...AJ
AVIATION...JJS


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