Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KBIS 250757
AFDBIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
257 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 246 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

QUIET AND DRY WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS THE SHORT TERM.

A SLIGHTLY WARMER DAY IS EXPECTED TODAY COMPARED TO MONDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL...AND 80S WEST WITH RETURN
SOUTHERLY FLOW. WHILE SOME MEMBERS OF THE 00 UTC DETERMINISTIC AND
ENSEMBLE SUITES GENERATE LIGHT QPF ACROSS THE NORTHWEST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
IMPULSE EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER RIDGE...HELD OFF ON INTRODUCING POPS
FOR NOW GIVEN MEAGER MOISTURE IN PLACE.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 246 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND THE RETURN OF
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES HIGHLIGHTS THE EXTENDED FORECAST.

A MEAN WESTERN AND CENTRAL CONUS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST
AMONGST A CONSENSUS OF THE 00 UTC SUITES. THUS...NEAR TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S ARE FAVORED FOR
THE PERIOD. A STRONGER SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST CONUS ON
WEDNESDAY IS FORECAST TO PROPAGATE NORTHEAST WITHIN THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. AT THIS
TIME...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE ARE
HIGHEST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF NORTH DAKOTA ALONG THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE WAVE. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 246 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR THE 06 UTC TAF CYCLE. WHILE PATCHY
FOG IS POSSIBLE NEAR KJMS LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING...LEFT THE MENTION OUT FOR NOW DUE TO HIGH UNCERTAINTY OF
POSSIBLE IMPACTS TO THE TERMINAL.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AYD
LONG TERM...AYD
AVIATION...AYD



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.