Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 212150
AFDBIS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
Issued by National Weather Service GRAND FORKS ND
350 PM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 328 PM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

Surface high pressure over the IA/MN border will move to
the central Great Lakes by Thu afternoon. Short wave off
the southern CA coast will move into eastern SD Thu
afternoon and will spread light snow over the far southeast
zones.


.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 328 PM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

Upper level short wave will continue to move through the
area Thu night over the far southeast zones. Next short
wave is expected to move into the Northern Plains Sat/Sat
night. For now the precipitation is expected to stay
south and east of the forecast area. Periods of low pops
 move through the area Sun and Tue but again too low to
add. Will keep little or no precip for much of the
extended.

Relative high amplitude upper air pattern with trough on the
southwest US and upper level ridge in the eastern US. Pattern
becomes more zonal after Sun.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 614 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

Band of low VFR clouds tracking across northern ND may hold
together long enough to make into KMOT. For now just added a
scattered layer at 5kft. Otherwise VFR conditions are expected
today and this evening. A southerly flow brings increasing
moisture into KDIK and KBIS toward the end of the forecast period.
Mesoscale model blend brings a scattered layer around 2kft to
KBIS around 10Z Thursday. Later shifts will need to monitor.


&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JH
LONG TERM...JH
AVIATION...JNS



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