Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 241700
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1100 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 312 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

An upper level storm system was moving away from western
Kansas early this morning. Cold air was arriving in the
wake of the system. Low cloud cover was fairly widespread
but cloud bases were lifting and scattering out in some places
from Dodge City westward. As cold high pressure gradually moves
into western Kansas, highs today are expected to reach into the
upper 30s to lower 40s from Dodge City south, with cooler mid 30s
along Interstate 70 where cloud cover will be more widespread.
With light winds and partially clear skies tonight, temperatures
will easily fall into the teens, with around 20 in south central
Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 312 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

A warming trend can be expected to start Saturday as the level
flow becomes more zonal and surface high pressure moves away from
Kansas. Highs ought to warm into the lower 50s by Sunday and lower
60s by Monday. A fast moving upper level system could result in a
few rain showers Sunday night across south central Kansas.
Another upper level system will traverse the plains by late
Tuesday with another cold frontal passage Tuesday evening. After a
mild day Tuesday with highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s, highs
should fall back into the upper 40s to mid 50s by Wednesday and
then recover back into the upper 50s by Thursday. Mild weather can
be expected through Saturday before the next cold front arrives.
Precipitation chances are very small Tuesday into Wednesday
despite the passage of the upper level system. Dry weather will
prevail late next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1100 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Stratus and stratocumulus ceilings will be slow to erode this
afternoon, gradually lifting and dissipating through 00z Sat.
MVFR cigs will persist for a few more hours, along with some -SHSN
in the vicinity of HYS. NW winds will be strong at all airports
through this afternoon, gusting 30-35 kts. Expect north winds to
weaken quickly around sunset. Winds will go light and variable
overnight into Saturday morning, as 1026 mb surface high settles
directly over SW KS. Some mid level clouds are expected around
sunrise, with SW winds returning behind the departing surface high
after 15z Sat.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  38  17  46  26 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  39  17  46  23 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  40  17  47  27 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  42  17  47  26 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  35  17  44  24 /  20   0   0   0
P28  43  21  46  29 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Finch
LONG TERM...Finch
AVIATION...Turner


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