Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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895
FXUS63 KDDC 252331
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
531 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 128 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

A quiet early afternoon. Satellite showed some clouds over the
state. This calm weather will continue into the overnight period
as well. A weak sfc trof will move across the region late tonight
and into the morning. The main impact will be a wind shift from
the S/SW to N/NE. With the dry airmass in place, teens for lows
in the northwest to upper 20s southeast is currently forecast. No
precipitation is expected in the short term period.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 128 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

The tranquil weather pattern continues to close out the weekend
and heading into the upcoming business week. Highs will moderate
with around 50F tomorrow and mainly in the 60s by Monday. Late
Monday and into Tuesday, a cold front will move across the state.
A fairly strong jet moves across the Plains, and there might be
enough dynamics and lift to produce precipitation. The highest
pops are expected across the north. Precipitation type should
start out as rain and then possibly some light snow showers as CAA
intensifies behind the system. We will get back to near normal
temperatures midweek, before rebounding once again as weak
downslope flow develops. Beyond this, looks very quiet through
March 7th with a large ridge building across the western United
States. Temperatures ought to trend to above normal by that time
period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 530 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

VFR conditions through TAF period at all locations. A weak surface
trough axis will move through Southwest Kansas tonight, shifting
winds from South/Southwest at ~5-10 knots to North/Northeast at
~5-10 knots early tomorrow morning. Some mid to upper level clouds
will come in overnight, but VFR conditions will remain. Skies will
become mostly clear after sunrise for Hays and Garden City and
mid-morning for Dodge City.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  24  50  28  62 /   0   0   0  10
GCK  20  49  26  62 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  24  50  27  64 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  25  52  27  66 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  22  47  26  55 /   0   0   0  20
P28  28  53  32  60 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Reynolds



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