Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 282227
AFDDDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
527 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

...UPDATED FOR 0Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 318 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSED ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY,
PUSHING A COLD FRONT THROUGH WESTERN KANSAS. THE SURFACE FRONT
WILL STALL OUT TO THE SOUTH OF KANSAS, BUT THE MID LEVEL
BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL BE SITUATED ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS TONIGHT. ANY
SURFACE BASED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING WILL BE ALONG THE FRONT
IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS INCLUDING AROUND PRATT, MEDICINE LODGE AND
COLDWATER. ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY TONIGHT
ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS IN THE MID LEVEL THERMAL GRADIENT AND THESE
MAY PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY AS WELL. WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER WILL
PREVENT TEMPERATURES FROM RISING OUT OF THE 80S ON WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 318 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES MAY LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE A
DRYING TREND COMMENCES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HOWEVER, EVEN DURING
THIS DRYING PERIOD, GIVEN THE NORTHWESTERLY MID TO UPPER LEVEL
FLOW, NOCTURNAL STORM CLUSTERS CAN`T BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE WITH MOSTLY 80S
THROUGH THURSDAY. THE WARMEST READINGS MAY BE ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR WHERE 90 DEGREE READINGS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
MORE SUNSHINE. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING PERSISTS OVER
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND GIVEN THE ABSENCE OF ANY STRONGER COLD
FRONTS. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S BY SATURDAY AND
CONTINUING INTO MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 527 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE TAF SITES THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING, EXCEPT FOR A SHORT PERIOD WHERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AFTER 04Z AT KDDC AND KGCK AS A MID LEVEL FRONT
PASSES.  WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AT AROUND 10-15 KTS
BEHIND A FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS
TODAY. MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND INTO
TOMORROW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  68  84  64  85 /  50  40  40  40
GCK  65  83  63  85 /  40  40  30  20
EHA  66  81  65  85 /  50  50  40  30
LBL  68  83  66  85 /  50  50  40  40
HYS  67  85  62  88 /  30  20  20  20
P28  74  88  67  87 /  40  30  40  40

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FINCH
LONG TERM...FINCH
AVIATION...WHITE


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