Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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886
FXUS63 KDDC 261206
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
606 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

...Updated Aviation Section...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 339 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

A weak shortwave trough passing across western Kansas this
morning was responsible for some mid level cloud but no
precipitation. A weak surface front will pass through
this morning, with a wind shift to the north at 10-15 mph.
Highs should easily reach into the upper 40s to mid 50s
with decreasing clouds in the wake of the system.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 339 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

An upper level trough is expected to approach the high plains
by Tuesday evening. Ahead of this system, surface troughing will
lead to warmer temperatures for Monday with upper 50s to lower 60s
for highs. Highs Tuesday will depend on the placement of the
associated front; but current thinking is that the front will be
far enough south so that temperatures only reach into the 50s to
lower 60s across western Kansas. A few rain showers are possible
Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night as the upper level system
passes. There is a small chance that any rain could briefly change
to snow before ending later Tuesday night. Highs Wednesday in the
wake of this system will be cooler around 50. Temperatures will
moderate once again by mid to late next week with some 60s
possible by Friday and 70s by Saturday as zonal mid to high level
flow allows for weak lee troughing and south to southwesterly low
level winds. Highs could reach near 80 degrees by next Sunday
ahead of a weak cold front.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 602 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

Aviation weather will be quite tranquil today and tonight with
deep tropospheric subsidence leading to continued VFR flight
category. There is expected to be a bump in winds to around 12 or
13 knots from late morning through early afternoon before
weakening again mid to late afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  52  24  65  37 /   0   0  10   0
GCK  50  23  63  32 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  51  27  64  38 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  52  26  68  37 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  51  24  59  35 /   0   0   0   0
P28  56  30  64  41 /   0  10  20   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Finch
LONG TERM...Finch
AVIATION...Umscheid



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