Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 060838
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
238 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016

...Updated short and long term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 238 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016

Northerly winds will shift to the southeast this afternoon with
increasing cloudiness this evening. This is as an upper level
disturbance moves through the Pacific Northwest and into the
Central Rockies by this evening. This disturbance will then move
into the Central Plains Wednesday. Mostly cloudy skies are
expected overnight with chances of snow starting across west
central Kansas a few hours after midnight. Snow chances then
spread eastward into central Kansas by sunrise Wednesday. The bulk
of this system will move through the area Wednesday and will be
talked about more in the long term section. As for temperatures,
highs today look to range from the lower 30s across northwest
Kansas to lower 40s across south central Kansas. Lows tonight are
anticipated to range from the mid teens across northwest Kansas to
mid 20s across south central Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 238 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016

The remainder of the aforementioned system will move through the
area Wednesday bringing mostly cloud skies and scattered snow
showers to western Kansas. The area that looks to receive the
majority of snow will be across northern Kansas and west central
Kansas with lesser amounts as you head farther south. In fact,
areas along the KS/OK border may not receive any snow at all. Snow
chances diminish from west to east Wednesday afternoon with dry
conditions and decreasing cloudiness Wednesday night. This system
will also help push through a cold front Wednesday with northerly
winds and a much colder air mass behind it. Temperatures Wednesday
look to range from the lower 20s across northwest Kansas to lower
30s across south central Kansas. Lows Wednesday night are expected
to fall into the single digits with the exception of south central
Kansas where teens will be found. The cold air mass continues to
filter into the area Thursday with highs only reaching into the
20s with lows Thursday night in the single digits and lower teens.
Wind chills down to the negative single digits are also expected
Wednesday and Thursday mornings with dry conditions. The next
system looks to move through the area this weekend, however, it
looks to trek to the north of the CWA with only an increase in
cloudiness expected. As for temperatures, highs Friday are
anticipated to rise into the 30s with 40s this weekend. Lows will
rebound into the 20s with the exception of west central Kansas
where upper teens could be found.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1119 PM CST Mon Dec 5 2016

VFR conditions will prevail today with increased cloudiness
tonight. Winds will generally be from a northerly direction
gusting above 20 knots over the next couple of hours then
decreasing to below 12 knots after sunrise.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  39  22  30   8 /   0  20  30   0
GCK  38  20  27   7 /   0  20  40   0
EHA  37  19  30   8 /   0  10  10   0
LBL  39  22  32   9 /   0  10  20   0
HYS  37  19  25   8 /   0  30  50   0
P28  42  25  35  14 /   0  10  30   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42



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