Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

771
FXUS63 KDDC 220833
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
333 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

...updated discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 333 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

Main focus during the short term period was pops. A few showers are
continuing early this morning. Additional development is expected later
today as a minor UL wave moves through. Meso and global models differ
with QPF, so broadbrushed the pops across the forecast district. Not
expecting a whole lot of rain with this activity, although a few spots
could see a couple tenths under the strongest of activity. Severe thunderstorms
looks unlikely as both shear and particularly CAPE are marginal. Only
calling for marginal wind and hail and that is probably being generous
with the threats. Otherwise, highs today will peak in the 60s, which
is from the cooler side of solutions considering all the precip and
cloud cover today. Lows mainly in the 40s are forecast for Tuesday
morning.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 333 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

On Tuesday, drier northerly flow aloft and at the sfc will prevail.
FB pops are slight, and only for the northeastern zones. Otherwise,
much of the area won`t see any precipitation. Even cooler highs are
expected Tuesday as a cool high pressure center prevails across the
Plains. Uneventful weather will continue through midweek with a dry
forecast. Moderating temperatures are expected Wednesday as high pressure
shifts off to the east and weak WAA resumes. 80s will be common Thursday
as the warm sector spreads northward. The EC is showing the potential
for nocturnal thunderstorms Friday and particularly Saturday during
the overnight periods. Confidence this far out is low and will have
to watch how the models evolve. Temperatures during the rest of the
extended period look pleasant with no pronounced hot or cold periods.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

Mid level VFR clouds will prevail through the first half of the TAF
pd. MVFR cigs will be possible this evening in association with some
shra/ts spreading over KGCK/KLBL/KDDC. Winds will be fairly weak and
variable through this evening as well.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  66  47  67  42 /  50  30  20   0
GCK  67  46  65  41 /  40  30  10   0
EHA  68  47  65  43 /  40  30  10   0
LBL  66  48  66  43 /  50  30  10   0
HYS  70  47  65  42 /  40  50  20   0
P28  67  51  69  45 /  40  40  10   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.