Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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000
FXUS63 KGID 272043
AFDGID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
343 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 343 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

ALOFT: A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED WRN USA RIDGE/ERN USA TROF WAS IN PLACE
WITH NNW OVER THE PLAINS. HOWEVER...THIS CONFIGURATION WILL BE
PROGRESSIVE AND DEAMPIFY THRU TOMORROW AS A SHORTWAVE TROF OFF THE
PAC NW MOVES ONSHORE AND INTO THE NRN ROCKIES. BY LATE SAT A
SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL BE OVERHEAD.

SURFACE: HIGH PRES WILL SLIDE FROM THE MS VALLEY AND SETTLE OVER
THE ERN USA. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDED FROM THE CANADIAN
PRAIRIESS DOWN TO THE CO-KS BORDER. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE LITTLE.
A WEAK LOW WAS MOVING SSE DOWN THE FRONT AND WAS PRODUCING WAA
CLOUDS AND SPOTTY VERY LIGHT PRECIP. IN THE MEANTIME...THE NEXT
PAC COOL FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE AND THRU THE NRN ROCKIES AND
INTERMOUNTAIN W. MORE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL ALSO STRENGTHEN THE
LEE-SIDE TROF.

REST OF THIS AFTERNOON: CLOUDY. PRECIP HAS BEEN HIGHLY VARIABLE
ON RADAR...BLOSSOMING AND DECAYING WITH VERY LITTLE ORGANIZATION.
OVERALL BELIEVE SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES WILL HANDLE IT...BUT THERE
COULD BE A BURST OF LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW. WE SAW IT EARLIER.

ORD DID BRIEFLY DROP TO 3SM IN -SN AT 2 PM. GRI WAS DOWN TO 4SM
AROUND 230 PM.

TONIGHT: THIS BAND OF WAA-DRIVEN CLOUDINESS WILL SHIFT E OF THE
REGION AS HEIGHTS RISE. CU FIELDS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE
PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON. SOME HI-RES MODELS SUGGEST SOME ISOLATE
SHWRS WILL DEVELOP AND HEAD SE INTO THE FCST AREA EARLY THIS
EVENING. THEY WILL FADE WITH LOSS OF HEATING. PLAYED IT AS
SPRINKLES. DECREASING CLOUDS FROM THE W.

LOW TEMPS ARE LARGELY CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FCST JUST WITH
A BIAS CORRECTION APPLIED.

SAT: PROBABLY SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS LINGER TO START THE DAY FROM
HWY 281 E...BUT OVERALL A NICE IMPROVEMENT OVER TODAY WITH TEMPS
REBOUNDING NEARLY 30F. GREAT FOR BEING OUTSIDE!


.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 343 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

THIS SECTION WILL UPDATE SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 18Z SAT AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

THIS AFTERNOON: VFR OVC WITH CIGS DECREASING TO 4-5K FT. THERE IS
A CHANCE FOR A SPRINKLE OR FLURRY. THERE IS A BAND OF MVFR CIGS
OFF TO THE W FROM ONL-BBW-LBF-MCK-HLC. CURRENT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
IT WILL ERODE AS IT DRIFTS E...BUT THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY IT
COULD MAKE IT INTO THE TERMINALS AFTER 21Z. LIGHT S WINDS WILL
BECOME SW AROUND 10 KTS. CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM

TONIGHT: MULTI-LAYERED CIGS LIFT WITH THE LOWEST LAYER AROUND 8K
FT. LIGHT S WINDS WILL BECOME VARIABLE AFTER 06Z. CONFIDENCE:
MEDIUM

SAT THRU 18Z: VFR. CLEARING. VARIABLE WINDS WILL BECOME STEADY
FROM THE ESE UNDER 10 KTS. CONFIDENCE: HIGH

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HALBLAUB
LONG TERM...WESELY
AVIATION...HALBLAUB



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