


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
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054 FXUS63 KGID 101135 AFDGID Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 635 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - There is a slight risk of severe storms this afternoon through this evening across the area. Damaging wind gusts and large hail will be the main threats. - There is a marginal risk of severe storms Friday afternoon and evening in advance of a cold front. Large hail and severe wind gusts will be the main threats but an isolated tornado is possible. - Heat index values today will range from around 90 to near and slightly above 100 degrees. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 244 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025 Today and tonight... A shortwave trough is moving near/over south central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas. Storms are moving southeastward across portions of the area aided by a low-level jet. The initial line of storms is across southeastern portions of the area, but another area of storms is moving into northwestern portions of the area. Winds will increase out of the south by this afternoon with another shortwave expected to move over the area. Temperatures today will heat up into the upper 80s to around 100 degrees. Heat index values will get up to near or slightly above 100 degrees across much of the area. Very high CAPE and low-level lapse rates will be present today. Wind shear will be lacking with values up to around 30 knots. The whole area has been outlooked in a slightly risk of severe weather per the SPC day 1 outlook. The main timing for severe weather looks to be mid/late afternoon through the evening hours. Damaging wind gusts and large hail will be the main threats with these storms. Low temperatures tonight will range from the low 60s to low/mid 70s. Friday through Saturday night... An upper trough will be over the area on Friday which will enhance upper lift. A cold front will also be moving southward towards the area. Fairly high moisture and instability will be across the area on Friday with fairly low wind shear. South central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas are in a marginal risk of severe storms per the SPC day 2 outlook. Afternoon and evening will be the main time frame for severe weather concerns. The main threats with these storms will be large hail and severe wind gusts, although an isolated tornado is possible. Cooler temperatures are expected behind the front on Friday with highs in the mid 80s to mid 90s. Low temperatures Friday night will range from the upper 50s to upper 60s. An upper trough will extend from Canada southward to the Midwest and central/southern Plains on Saturday. The surface high will be across the area with high temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s with light and variable winds. Low temperatures Saturday night will be in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Sunday through Wednesday... Temperatures will start to warm up on Sunday with highs in the mid 80s to low 90s. Low temperatures Sunday night will be in the low/mid 60s to upper 60s. The warm up continues on Monday with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Lows Monday night will be in the low/mid 60s to the low 70s. An upper trough will be over the northern and central Plains on Tuesday. A cold front associated with this trough will move southward towards the area. Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase beginning on Tuesday as a result of the approaching trough and cold front. High temperatures on Tuesday will range from the mid 80s to mid 90s. The cold front will push through the area Tuesday night with lows in the mid/upper 50s to the mid/upper 60s. A surface high will be across the area on Wednesday with high temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s. Rain and storm chances (around 15% to near 40%) will continue on Wednesday. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 629 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025 For KGRI/KEAR Airports: Thunderstorms will continue to impact KGRI off and on for the next couple of hours. Wind shear is also possible for both terminals for the next couple of hours. Thunderstorms are again possible beginning around 00z. Winds will mostly be out of the south today until around 00z when they will begin to switch to the north. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Schuldt AVIATION...Schuldt