Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 252357

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
557 PM CST Fri Nov 25 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 333 PM CST Fri Nov 25 2016

Satellite shows clear skies across the area this afternoon. Surface
analysis has a high pressure to the southeast of the area and winds
are from the southwest.

An upper level ridge will move across the area tonight and Saturday.
There is warm advection across the area through the night and into
Saturday which will allow for warmer temperatures. Winds will be
from the west or southwest and there will be some down sloping as

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 333 PM CST Fri Nov 25 2016

Saturday night will still be mild as the upper ridge moves to the
east and an upper wave moves into the area toward morning. The
period Sunday and Sunday night there is an upper level wave that
will move through the area. The models are similar in bringing
precipitation across the area for Sunday into Sunday night. The
temperatures are warm enough and expect there to be rain. There is
also a little MUCAPE across the area so have kept the thunderstorm
chances in. The showers and isolated thunderstorms should come to an
end during the night Sunday night.

Monday brings a few differences in the models. The ECMWF is slower
to move the upper low to the northeast and brings a little more
precipitation into the area Monday afternoon. Have a few showers in
the north Monday afternoon, but this will depend a lot on if the low
moves to the northeast.

For the period Monday night through Friday, the flow will be
northwest through most of the period. There is another upper low
that moves into the southwest at the end of the period. Expect dry
conditions through the period. Temperatures will be a little cooler
with highs in the 30s to 40s for the most part.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 544 PM CST Fri Nov 25 2016

The biggest issue will be low-level wind shear in association with
a low-level jet with an axis shifting east into the overnight.
Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected under an upper level ridge.




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