Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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244
FXUS63 KGID 250527
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1227 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 143 PM CDT Sat Sep 24 2016

At 19Z, scattered thunderstorms have pushed east of our forecast
area and are primarily across eastern parts of Nebraska. Severe
weather chances are limited at best today, but cannot rule out a
rogue storm or two that could possibly produce hail near the size
of a nickel or perhaps wind gusts around 40 mph. Otherwise, skies
should gradually clear from west to east through tonight, and
mostly clear skies are expected Sunday across the forecast area. A
cold front will stall out tonight across the forecast area, and
eventually push east of the local area tomorrow morning. Behind
the front, a cold airmass will produce temperatures below normal
for this time of year with highs only reaching the upper 60s to
lower 70s Sunday afternoon. In addition, wind speeds will be
strong behind the front with speeds of 15 to 25 mph expected from
the northwest during the afternoon hours.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 143 PM CDT Sat Sep 24 2016

Overall the long term is quiet weather-wise. The most noteworthy
item is the potential for frost Sunday night...albeit a low chance
at this time. The atmosphere appears to be a little too dry for
actual frost to develop. However...based purely on
temperatures...patchy frost is possible across low lying areas and
valleys across south central Nebraska...or basically some areas
mainly west/northwest of the Tri- Cities.

Then there is the potential for thunderstorms later in the week.
Confidence is low thunderstorms will develop, but there certainly is
the possibility for some isolated thunderstorms to develop.
Needless to say, but confidence for severe weather potential is
very low at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1158 PM CDT Sat Sep 24 2016

VFR conditions are expected through the period with winds being
the primary focus. Already seeing some gusty northwesterly winds
behind the passing cold front this evening at ODX. Expect these
gusty winds to reach both KEAR and KGRI over the next couple of
hours...with much stronger winds just above the inversion
layer...resulting in some marginal LLWS during the early morning
hours. Thereafter...with a strong pressure gradient building and
good vertical mixing...expect breezy conditions throughout the day
on Sunday...with mostly clear skies prevailing.

&&

.GID Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Guerrero
LONG TERM...Guerrero
AVIATION...Rossi



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