Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 271720

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1220 PM CDT Tue Sep 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 348 AM CDT Tue Sep 27 2016

Mostly sunny today with west winds this morning becoming
northwest and gusty as a backdoor cold front moves into north
central Nebraska this afternoon and moves across western Nebraska
through the night. There is some low level moisture but very dry
aloft. PW`s at Omaha 75th percentile. Models have massive
subsidence over the northern plains. Have cut highs back a couple
of degrees today. North central zones...Oneill...will see highs in
the mid to upper 70s with southwest and west seeing highs around
80. Continued mostly clear tonight as upper ridge pushes east on
the backside of upper low to the east continues its trek to the
southeast into southern Great Lakes. Warmer over night with lows
in the mid 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 348 AM CDT Tue Sep 27 2016

Models trended a little slowly with the movement of the upper
level closed low that meanders across the Great Lakes region and
the Ohio river valley now through the weekend. Meanwhile a ridge
across the western CONUS will shift east and flatten as the trough
to the east holds strong. Also seeing a trough dig towards the
Pacific NW by the weekend. At the surface a push of cool air from
the north to drift and settle across the area for the end of the
work week and into the weekend. Little moisture in the column
from Wed until at least Fri. Resulting weather will be seasonal to
seasonally warm temperatures and generally clear skies.

As the ridge breaks down and the trough digs to the west Friday
into Saturday the flow becomes more SW over the high plains with
some upper level Pacific moisture to bring some high clouds.
Southerly winds develop Saturday into Sunday with sfc moisture to
increase. Models bring a disturbance across the area Sunday and
expect this to be the next chance for precip, albeit not a great
chance at this time. A second wave will arrive early next week
with another chance for precip on Monday.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Tue Sep 27 2016

VFR conditions will continue across western Nebraska through early
Wednesday afternoon. Very dry air in place will keep skc as winds
remain generally under 12 kts.


Issued at 348 AM CDT Tue Sep 27 2016

Minimum rh`s falling to 20 to 30 percent today across western
Nebraska. Will be dry again tomorrow with similar numbers.
Moisture will rebound through mid week into the weekend with some
precipitation expected Sunday.




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