Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 010456
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1156 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Sat Apr 30 2016

Dryline currently moving across the forecast area this afternoon
is expected to spark storms that will affect mainly the eastern
Ozarks through this evening. A few strong to severe storms will be
possible through early evening as mentioned in the previous
mesoscale discussion.

Otherwise expect sky cover to continue clearing from west to
east as drier airmass behind the cold front spreads across the
area and main area of low pressure over the central Plains pushes
eastward toward the Ohio Valley. Temperatures are expected to drop
into the 40s over the western Ozarks and southeast Kansas tonight.

Still looks like we will have temperatures about 10 to 15 degrees
cooler on Sunday.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Sat Apr 30 2016

Models have increased the coverage of precipitation associated
with passage of upper level trough axis on Monday/Monday night...but
continue to keep accumulations low. Instability is low to nil so
will keep thunder out of the forecast.

The rest of the work week looks dry as high pressure builds
across the region and upper ridge sets up across the
Rockies. There may be some increase in cloud cover Wednesday night
as a weak disturbance drops southeast around the back side of the Great
Lakes upper trough.

Storm activity may pick up late next weekend as an upper level
trough develops over the southwest U.S.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sat Apr 30 2016

Patchy fog is expected late tonight and early Sunday morning as
winds become nearly calm. The fog will be shallow in nature with
visibilities being highly variable.

Any fog will then dissipate by mid-morning on Sunday with VFR
expected into the evening. Winds will be light out of the west on
Sunday.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Terry
LONG TERM...Terry
AVIATION...Schaumann


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