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727
FXUS63 KSGF 251145 CCA
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
622 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

The upper level high pressure ridge is slowly losing control of our
weather locally. We should see an almost identical day like
yesterday today across much of the area. High temperatures will be
back in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees this afternoon. High res
short term models indicate isolated afternoon convection to develop
again this afternoon mainly areas east of Highway 65 similar to
yesterday. A few lightning strikes, gusty winds up to 45 mph, and
brief heavy downpours could be possible with any isolated storm this
afternoon. All convection will end by sunset this evening and a
quiet night will return.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

The upper level trough and unsettled weather tries to slowly move
eastward tomorrow into Wednesday. A slow moving cold front
currently across the Central Plains region will slowly move
southeastward over the next 48 hours. The upper level trough
splits on Tuesday with a piece of upper level energy moving up
across the Upper Midwest and another upper level piece of energy
holding back across the southwest U.S. Tuesday will be our last
above average "warm" day.

There will be scattered showers and storms mainly northwest of
I-44 Tuesday afternoon and night. The cold front continues to move
through the area Wednesday morning with post frontal showers and
maybe an isolated storm on Wednesday across southern Missouri. It
does not look like the Ozarks Region will see widespread rainfall
with this system with some areas missing needed rainfall. Overall
rainfall will be light.

Cooler weather moves in starting Wednesday through the end of the
week. Scattered mid and high level cloudiness may linger into
Thursday across southern and southwestern Missouri. The initial
push of cooler air will get a replacement of another Canadian high
pressure on Friday with a trough kicking through the Great Lakes
Region and Missouri being in a slight northwest flow. Seasonable
temperatures and dry weather expected Thursday through Sunday with
a next chance of possible rain Sunday night or next Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 615 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

Clear skies this morning will begin to see increasing cloud cover
and the chance for showers and storms this afternoon. The
Springfield and Branson airports have the best chance to see
storms this afternoon. Flight conditions are expected to remain
VFR except where storms move directly over airfields. After sunset
storms will disperse though VFR ceilings.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Hatch