Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 121057

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
457 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 325 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2018

Much colder conditions are occurring across the area this morning,
as early morning temperatures are currently in the teens. An
upper level trough is currently pushing through the the area. The
bulk of the precipitation with this system has shifted east of the
area, but some scattered flurries will remain possible across
mainly the eastern Ozarks early this morning. No additional
accumulations are expected across the forecast area. Skies will
clear from west to east this morning with any lingering flurries
ending fairly quickly.

Breezy conditions will also continue this morning and as a result
wind chills of zero to around eight below can be expected early
this morning. Highs this afternoon will warm into the middle to
upper 20s this afternoon despite plenty of sunshine. Lows tonight
will fall into the lower teens again with wind chills around

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 325 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2018

The region will remain in a northwest flow upper level pattern
this weekend through much of next week. This will keep colder
conditions across the area and also allow several upper level
disturbances to track through the region.

The first upper level trough will track through the area
Saturday, though no preciptiation will occur with the passage of
this system. The trough will send a reinforcing shot of cold air
into the area keeping highs in the 20s Saturday afternoon.

Another shortwave trough will sweep across the area Sunday and
will bring some light snow to the area. Could see a dusting of
snow is spots, mainly across central Missouri. Highs Sunday will
warm into the upper 20s to the lower 30s.

Yet an upper level trough will then spread south through the
region Monday into Tuesday. This system will send an even colder
air mass into the area as highs on Tuesday will only warm into the
teens. Snow will also develop and sag south through the area as
the trough pushes across the area Monday. Overall the snow will
be short lived in nature, but could still produce a quick dusting
to less than an inch of snowfall in spots.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 451 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2018

An upper level trough is spreading east of the area early this
morning. A stratus deck is slowly clearing from west to east this
morning. MVFR conditions and perhaps a few flurries will occur
under the stratus deck early in the TAF period. The clearing line
has already pushed east of KJLN and will continue to spread east
of KSGF and KBBG by mid morning. VFR conditions will then prevail
the rest of the TAF period. Gusty northwesterly winds will occur




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