Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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479
FXUS63 KSGF 291905
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
205 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 205 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

Blocking pattern persisting across the CONUS today with closed low
now centered across the Ohio valley region. Cyclonic flow around
the low extending to the west across the CWA. Water vapor showing
very dry mid/upper levels across the area. Visible imagery showing
main area of low clouds east of the CWA, but far western edge of
cloud cover now sneaking into Dent/Shannon counties. Decent cold
air advection with the cyclonic flow was keeping temperatures in
the 60s to around 70 degrees across the area so far this
afternoon. Main forecast focus will be with temperatures until the
middle of next week when the next upper low will approach the
region and provide our next decent shot at rainfall.


&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 205 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

For tonight into Friday, not much change from what we`ve seen
today. The upper low is not expected to move much at all, and
we`ll see continuing north-northwest flow aloft. Bulk of cloud
cover/scattered showers will remain east of our CWA with lows
tonight generally in the 50s and highs on Friday in the 60s to low
70s.


.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 205 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

Upper low will finally begin to lift northeast this weekend and
then we will await the next closed low from the west around the
middle of next week. Will start to see a gradual warmup by early
next week as the low approaches and our upper level flow becomes
more westerly with a southerly low level flow. By Tuesday night we
could see some upper level energy in association with the low
begin to move into the area with showers/thunderstorms moving into
the area. Precipitation chances will continue into the later part
of next week.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

With large closed low in the OH valley, northerly flow will
persist across the area. Main clouds will be east of our area in
association with the low. VFR conditions are expected through the
period.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg



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