Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 301935
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
135 PM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 108 PM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

Chilly weather is in store tonight as surface high pressure builds
southward. Clouds will linger across central Missouri through the
evening but expect clearing area wide by Thursday morning. A
tranquil but chilly weather day is in store for Thursday as
surface high pressure settles across the region.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 108 PM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

Quiet weather is expected Thursday night through Friday night with
seasonably cool weather. A storm system will be digging and
developing across the southwestern U.S. late this week. An upper
level wave will move across the Midwest this weekend. This feature
will bring widespread light rain. There may be enough cold air
and marginal thickness levels above the surface to allow for a few
wet snowflakes to mix in with the rain Saturday night into early
Sunday morning. This potential will be across Central Missouri and
the eastern Ozarks. Temperatures will remain above freezing and
the ground will be too warm for any accumulation or impacts.
Average rainfall amounts this weekend will range from two tenths
up to maybe half an inch.

There will be a brief period between systems Sunday night and
Monday before the storm system across the southwestern U.S. moves
out across the region late Monday into Monday night. Again
temperatures will remain above freezing and we are expecting just
a cold light rain Monday night. Another one to two tenths of an
inch of rainfall is expected on average.

Long range guidance continue to show a stronger trough developing
by mid to late next week with a strong cold front moving through
sometime middle of next week. There are some differences among the
models for placement with the surface and mid level low track.
Confidence is increasing that the coldest air of the season so far
is on the way late next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1121 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

Scattered to occasionally broken clouds will move through the SGF
and perhaps JLN terminals this afternoon. Expecting VFR ceilings
however an occasional low end mvfr ceiling is not out of the
question. Winds will likely remain gusty out of the west before
relaxing this evening. No other restrictions or impacts are
expected.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Burchfield



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