National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 042355
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
555 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday
Issued at 259 AM CST TUE MAR 4 2014

A drier and slightly warmer pattern is in store for the rest of
the work week. A shortwave trough passing the area will keep
afternoon temperatures near 40 degrees through Thursday. Wind
chills Wednesday and Thursday morning are forecast to dip to
around 10 degrees over south-central Missouri. The approaching
shortwave will bring some light snow to western parts of the CWA
on Wednesday night. Only minor accumulations are expected.
Afternoon temperatures will warm nicely on Friday as southerly
winds pick up with an upper level ridge moving overhead, with
highs in the mid 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 259 AM CST TUE MAR 4 2014

On Friday, a Pacific shortwave trough is forecast to dive south
across the western CONUS, cutting off over TX and NM, then slowly
move east early next week. Given that numerical weather models
often struggle a bit with cutoff systems, higher forecast
uncertainty for this weekend can be expected. Overall, this
cutoff low should work to bring moisture into the region by late
Friday or during the day Saturday. This moisture will support
precipitation, most likely in the liquid form. However, if the
lower levels end up being a bit colder, some snowfall would not
be out of the question. Precipitation is expected to push south
generally by Sunday morning, with an area of high pressure
pushing into the region. Temperatures over the weekend are
forecast to be a bit cooler, with highs in the mid to upper 40s.
Southerly winds on the back side of the high will draw warmer air
into the region on Monday and Tuesday, with highs forecast in the
upper 50s with dry conditions.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 554 PM CST TUE MAR 4 2014

High pressure moved east of the region today which will allow for
VFR flight conditions and light southerly surface winds through
the forecast period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gagan
LONG TERM...Gagan
AVIATION...Hatch

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office