Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 040442

1142 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2015

Issued at 1132 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

Inserted patchy fog to the forecast overnight. Moist boundary
layer and clearing sky will be supportive of fog development as
temperatures cool into the lower and middle 60s. Progged soundings
suggest a favorable hydrolapse rate. Will have to monitor for
areas of dense fog.


.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 229 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

Scattered showers and isolated thunder will persist into the
evening hours, but should begin to end from north to south as the
shortwave swings through and also diminish in coverage and
intensity during the evening as instability decreases. Storms are
expected to remain below severe limits, but training cells will
continue to be monitored for some isolated flash flooding.
Residual flooding will continue tonight from previous heavy
rainfall over the past couple of days.

Overnight period into Saturday looks mostly dry as we get into a
period of subsidence across the forecast area.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 229 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

As we head into late Saturday night, we may have remnants of an
MCS move into our southwest CWA should it develop out in the
Plains, but there are still questions as to whether or not this
will occur. Scattered convection would then be possible during the
day Sunday.

Attention then turns to the next frontal boundary, poised to move
through early next week. This will likely bring at least one round
of heavy rain back to the area, depending on how far south the
front can make it. It does appear that the front will begin to
lift back north into the area later in the week for additional
thunderstorm and heavy rain chances. Will need to monitor this
setup for the potential of additional flooding/flash flooding for
next week.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday Night)
Issued at 1132 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

Pilots can expect VFR mixed with areas of MVFR conditions
overnight through early Saturday as surface high pressure builds
into the area. Patchy fog will develop overnight with some MVFR
visibilities. Will have to monitor for the potential for more
widespread fog and potential for IFR conditions. VFR conditions
can be expected Saturday with a light east to southeast wind at
the surface.




SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Foster is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.