Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 060050
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
650 PM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 240 PM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

Colder temperatures have definitely arrived across the region today,
with readings just in the 40s and combined with brisk northwest
winds, wind chills have held in the 30s much of the day. The
pressure gradient will remain rather tight through Wednesday as
the center of the surface high remains well west and south of the
area. Expect clear skies through Wednesday, with the exception of
some mid and high clouds later Wednesday afternoon. Although
colder, temperatures through Wednesday will be near normal for
early December.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 240 PM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

High amplitude pattern establishes itself over the conus through
this period, with deep troughing across the east and a sharp ridge
along the west coast. This will keep southeast Kansas and the
Missouri Ozarks in a solidly north to northwest flow. This will
keep temperatures below normal, at least through Saturday with the
coldest day expected Thursday, where highs in in the low to mid
30s and lows in the teens are expected. Some weak impulses in the
flow could result in a few flurries at times, but nothing
impactful. Medium range models still indicating a slightly
stronger shortwave to drop through the flow Friday night across
far eastern Missouri and may brush the eastern Ozarks with some
light snow/flurries. Again, not expecting any impacts.

For the weekend into next week western ridge does drift further east
with rising 500mb heights over the local area. Another wave looks to
drop south into the area on Tuesday but confidence not high and any
precipitation at this point looks to be light. Slowly warming
temperatures back into the lower 50s are likely Sunday through
Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 645 PM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR. A sfc trough will move through the
region 12z-15z veering winds to the west-northwest with some
moderate gusts. Mentions llws in all tafs after 06z with 35-40kt nw
winds just above the nighttime inversion.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Raberding
LONG TERM...Raberding
AVIATION...DSA



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