Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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559
FXUS63 KSGF 232213
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
513 PM CDT Fri Sep 23 2016

...00z Aviation Forecast Update...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)

Unseasonably warm conditions continued this afternoon as
temperatures warmed into the middle and upper 80s.

A summertime ridge of high pressure was responsible for the warm
and dry weather. This will eventually begin to breakdown come
Saturday night. Until then, look for dry weather with highs
back into the 80s on Saturday. Lows tonight will fall into the
60s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)

A long wave trough of low pressure accompanied by a frontal system
will slowly approach the eastern Plains Saturday night into
Sunday. This pattern will facilitate showers and thunderstorms
across southeast Kansas and western Missouri.

Both the ECMWF and the GFS now suggests this long wave will
become detached, causing a large band of precipitation to break
apart before shifting east through the rest of southern Missouri.
Therefore, it`s quite possible much of southern Missouri could
remain dry through early next week. Much better rain chances will
occur over southeast Kansas and western Missouri.

The surface front will move across the entire region, bringing
cooler and less humid air to the Ozarks. Temperatures will respond
by falling into the 40s and 50s Monday night into Tuesday morning.
Afternoon highs will only warm into the 70s, Monday through
Wednesday.

We expect a warming trend toward the end of next week, with temps
back into the 80s Thursday and Friday. At this time it appears as
though next week should be mostly dry.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 511 PM CDT Fri Sep 23 2016

VFR will prevail through tomorrrow with light southerly winds
between 5 to 10 knots. There are no aviation concerns for pilots
across the Ozarks Region.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Griffin
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