Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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734
FXUS63 KSGF 232053
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
253 PM CST Tue Jan 23 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)

Cloud cover was eroding from west to east this afternoon as height
rises occurred. This is the beginning of a multiple day warming
trend across extreme southeast Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks.

Dry conditions are also expected through the rest of the work week
with temperatures warming into the 60s by Thursday and Friday.

There will be a heightened fire danger on Thursday afternoon as
gusty southwest winds combine with a dry airmass to create ideal
conditions for a rapid spread of ignited wildland fires.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Tuesday)

By Friday night, a strong cold front will approach, triggering a
brief period of rain. Precipitation amounts will generally remain
less than one quarter of an inch, being that it won`t last long.

Cooler air will spread across the region, bringing temperatures
down to the 20s Sunday morning with highs on Sunday and Monday
afternoons in the 40s.

Medium range models indicate another warming trend Tuesday and
Wednesday of next week, with the possibility of a more impactful
storm system to roll in sometime around Wednesday night or
Thursday. Those details will become better understood with time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1120 AM CST Tue Jan 23 2018

An MVFR cloud deck is currently over the area late this morning.
The clouds will gradually clear from west to east this afternoon,
with VFR conditions then occur by late afternoon/early evening
through the rest of the TAF period. Winds will generally be out
of the west northwest at 10kt or less this afternoon through
Wednesday morning.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Wise



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