Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 122240
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
540 PM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013

IT WAS A NICE DAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. SUNSHINE WAS ABUNDANT AND
TEMPERATURES WERE MILD IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S. A WEAK AND
MOISTURE STARVED DISTURBANCE WAS RIDING DOWN THE NORTHWEST FLOW
CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS. SOME HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE THIS LATE AFTERNOON FOR AREAS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS
AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. REGIONAL RADARS ARE SHOWING SOME
ELEVATED SHOWERS BUT MOST OF THE SHOWERS ARE NOT REACHING THE
GROUND DUE TO VERY DRY AIR NEAR THE SURFACE. WILL MENTION JUST A
SMALL POSSIBILITY OF A FEW SPRINKLES OVER THAT AREA THROUGH THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF
FAIRLY QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET AND THEN LEVEL OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH
A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE BY SUNRISE. THE
COOLEST TEMPERATURES WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN MISSOURI OZARKS
WHERE TEMPERATURES MAY DROP DOWN TO THE UPPER 30S. WILL MENTION
SOME PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN OZARKS WHERE WINDS ARE
CALM. MILDER READINGS WILL BE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS IN
THE MID 40S TONIGHT. SOUTHERLY BREEZES WILL HELP WARM THE AREA UP
INTO THE 70S TOMORROW.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013

A VERY WARM DAY IS IN THE FORECAST FOR TUESDAY WITH HIGHS
APPROACHING THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S AREA WIDE. A SHORTWAVE IN THE
SOUTHERN FLOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SLOWLY LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING A ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED LACKING UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND
SHEAR. ANOTHER WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MIDWEST REGION OVER THE
WEEK WHICH MAY BRING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN VERY SPRING LIKE THROUGH THIS
WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND WITH NO BIG FRONTS OR COOL DOWNS EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 535 PM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY WITH A FEW MID LEVEL
CLOUDS STREAMING THROUGH THE REGION. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE FOR MUCH OF TONIGHT BEFORE INCREASING OUT OF THE SOUTH
AND SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GRIFFIN
LONG TERM...GRIFFIN
AVIATION...SCHAUMANN






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