Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 241127

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
527 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)

A cold front was sweeping across southern Missouri early this
morning, bringing a much cooler airmass to the region. Highs today
will range from the upper 40s in southeast Kansas to the lower 60s
in south central Missouri.

Little to no precipitation is expected with this front due to a
dry airmass in place. We did have a few showers and storms that
occurred overnight, although this activity has since shifted east
of the Ozarks.

For tonight, temperatures will plummet into the low 20s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)

Sunny and mild weather is expected for Saturday as zonal flow
aloft evolves. Highs on Saturday will warm back into the 40s.

A return of southerly winds is expected by Sunday. Temperatures
will warm into the 50s, however, increasing cloud cover and even a
few showers will be possible.

Intermittent chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue
early next work week as cyclonic flow aloft persists while
moisture advection occurs. It doesn`t appear as though a
widespread heavy rain will occur.

While cooler air is expected Tuesday through Thursday, readings
will still be above normal for the time of year. A couple of
frontal passages are possible during this time frame with little
to no rain chances.

Wave 5 analysis would suggest a continuation in above normal
temperatures well into the month of March. No long term shot of
Arctic air is being signaled at this time as the winter window
begins to close.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 516 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Lower end MVFR ceilings will continue to overspread the airports
early this morning behind the cold front which is currently
passing through Branson, and has already passed through
Springfield. Expect ceilings to gradually lift to VFR through the
late morning and early afternoon. However we will have to watch
for additional cloud development later this afternoon and into the
evening with an upper level disturbance moving over
central/northern MO.

Surface pressure gradient will remain sufficient for gusts above
20 knots through much of the forecast period as a 1026 mb high
builds southward across the Plains through 12Z Saturday.




LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Terry is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.