Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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582
FXUS63 KSGF 192308
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
508 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)

Fair weather was observed over extreme southeast Kansas and the
Missouri Ozarks. Under full sunshine temperatures warmed into the
upper 40s and lower 50s. A Canadian high pressure center was
tracking south of the region, which will cause surface winds to
eventually shift around back to the south.

For tonight, overnight lows will fall into the 30s. Sub freezing
temperatures can be expected in the eastern Ozarks, an area that
will have less mixing due to light and variable winds.

On Monday, conditions will be ideal for outdoor activities as
temperatures approach the lower 60s in many locations. South winds
along with full sunshine are both expected.

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for Monday afternoon
as southwest winds gusts up to 25 mph at times. Relative humidity
levels will drop into the upper 20s to middle 30s.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)

Following mild temperatures through Monday night, a dry cold front
will swing across the Ozarks during the day Tuesday, bringing a
cooler airmass to the region. Temperatures Tuesday will struggle
to warm out of the 40s. As a matter of fact, by Tuesday night,
lows will fall into the low to mid 20s.

With upper level northwest flow persisting through the week, the
Gulf of Mexico will remain shut down. Also, cold fronts will be
moving through the region every two or three days. Because of the
lack of available moisture, no precipitation is expected with any
of these frontal passages.

One front will pass through Thursday, and another on Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 504 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

Should remain in VFR through the period. With the departing
surface ridge however, winds will become gusty out of the south on
Monday with some gusts of 25 to 30 kts.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Lindenberg



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