Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 212004

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
204 PM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 205 PM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

Mid and high level cloud cover quickly advanced north into the
area during the late morning and early afternoon hours today. This
cloud cover is ahead of a shortwave moving northeast toward the
area from the the Southern High Plains. Expect to see clouds
expand in coverage over the rest of the area this afternoon, with
scattered showers developing during the evening as lift increases
over the area.

Rain and a few thunderstorms will then continue overnight tonight
into the day on Monday, as the mid level wave closes off and
slowly moves east into the southern US on Sunday. Fog is also
expected across southern Missouri tonight. Rain will become
increasingly organized toward morning on Sunday, with the
potential for a band or two of moderate rain over southern
Missouri through Sunday afternoon. Temperatures on Sunday will be
cool, with highs in 40s for most.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 205 PM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

Rain will end later Sunday, with clearing taking place by Monday.
Highs Monday will be in the 40s, before temperatures warm well
above average Tuesday, when highs are expected to reach the 60s.

A relatively strong, but mostly dry cold front will then pass
through the area Wednesday, bringing a return to temperatures more
in line with seasonal averages to end the workweek. Highs
Wednesday will be in the mid 40s, with upper 30s and low 40s
expected for Thursday-Saturday. Lows during this time will be back
in the 20s. Precipitation chances appear to be low during this


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 525 AM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Lowering vfr ceilings will occur over
the next few hours as low pressure moves into the TX Panhandle
region. The sfc low will then track into AR with increasing
chances for rain with mvfr/ifr ceilings and visibility with rain.
The lowering ceilings and heavier rain will occur after 06z as
winds back to the east and eventually to the north as the
deepening sfc low tracks off to the east.




LONG TERM...Boxell
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