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000
FXUS63 KSGF 141738
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1238 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2014

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 243 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

The cold front is almost clear through the eastern Missouri Ozarks
this morning and temperatures are falling behind it. Temperatures
were already done in the upper 30s over portions of southeast
Kansas and Western Missouri. Areas of drizzle were being reported
at several locations. It will be a cold...cloudy...dreary day today with a
brisk north wind gusting up to 30 mph and wind chills down in the
20s at times. Air temperatures will fall through out the morning
and then hold steady somewhere in the upper 30s to lower 40s for
the afternoon.

There is an upper level disturbance and associated cold pocket of
air aloft currently over eastern Colorado this morning. This
feature will move over the area late this morning through the
early afternoon and bring another rounds of showers possibly
mixing in with or briefly changing over to wet snow. The better
potential for wet snow will be along and north of I-44 and the
Ozark Plateau. What a big difference from temperatures in the 80s this
past weekend. The air temperatures and ground temperatures are too
warm for anything to stick and no impacts expected today.

This whole system will finally move out this evening and skies
will clear from west to east this evening. A cold Canadian high
pressure will build in and good radiational cooling will allow for
near record low temperatures. Temperatures will be down in the
middle to upper 20s and where winds become light...expecting areas
of frost as well. See climate section for information on record
lows for Tuesday morning.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 243 AM CDT MON APR 14 2014

Sunny but cool weather is on tap for Tuesday and a slow moderation
in Temperatures follow on Wednesday. May see temperatures dip back
down to near freezing especially over the eastern half of the area
early Wednesday morning and patchy frost once again.

Another trough in the upper levels will dig across the central
U.S. on Thursday and bring another cold front through the region
late Thursday night into early Friday. This front will bring
another round of showers to the area followed by a brief cool down
on Friday.

Temperatures look more seasonable for next weekend with a zonal
flow. Models show another upper level wave for the latter half of
the weekend and another round of showers.

&&

.AVIATION...

Pilots flying in and out of the southwest Missouri airports can
expect MVFR conditions this afternoon. Eventually skies will clear
giving way to VFR conditions through tonight and Tuesday.

Pilots also need to be aware that a band of light snow was
shifting into Missouri, which has already affected the Joplin
airport. It`s possible that light snow will fall over he
Springfield and Branson airports as well. Take a look at radar
trends and monitor as needed.

We also have some gusty northwest winds, that will diminish this
afternoon to light and variable. Clear skies and light winds
tonight will give way to record breaking cold temperatures for the
time of year. Look for overnight lows in the low to mid 20s.

Safe Travels.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 247 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

Record lows for April 15th:

Springfield: 25 deg F...1928
Joplin     : 26 deg F...1983
West Plains: 25 deg F...1950
Rolla-Vichy: 27 deg F...1962

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FREEZE WARNING from 10 PM this evening to 9 AM CDT Tuesday FOR
     MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FREEZE WARNING from 10 PM this evening to 9 AM CDT Tuesday FOR
     KSZ073-097-101.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Cramer
CLIMATE...Griffin