Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 232320

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
520 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 1256 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

The cloud cover over the Ozarks was slowly eroding from west to
east as an upper level ridge was building over the region.
Temperatures were in the middle 40s for most of the Ozarks and
southeastern Kansas with generally light winds. Overall it is a
fairly seasonable and pleasant day across the area.

Temperatures tonight will drop into the 30s as the skies remain
clear and the upper ridge remains overhead.

An approaching area of low pressure will move across the Plains
on its way towards the Great Lakes through the day Tuesday. The
low will remain to the northwest of the Ozarks with a dry frontal
passage for the area. The surface gradient will tighten quite a
bit however. This will bring the potential for wind gusts Tuesday
afternoon between 35 and 40 mph at times as temperatures climb
into the lower to middle 60s.

The combination of the warm temperatures and gusty winds will
bring the potential for some drying to occur of cured grasses.
This will result in spotty locations along and west of I-49 seeing
an elevated fire weather concern despite the recent rains.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 1256 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

From Tuesday night through Wednesday, we will be under the
influence of southwesterly upper level flow. Dry conditions at the
surface will allow the region to see ample sunshine, though
temperatures will be in the 40s during the afternoon and 30s
overnight as a result of the cool airmass that will move into the
area behind the Tuesday night cold front.

Through the end of the week and into the weekend, an upper level
trough will be in control of the area`s weather. This will keep
the region cool with afternoon highs in the upper 30s to middle
40s and overnight lows in the 20s. It will also help to keep the
region dry through the coming weekend and into the start of next


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 517 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

Region is currently located in between two systems and should have
a clear sky and light wind initially tonight. Low pressure will
develop over the plains on Tuesday with a tightening pressure
gradient, especially over the western half of the CWA. This will
bring gusty winds from late morning through the afternoon hours to
SGF/JLN terminals. Still expecting VFR conditions through the




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