Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 242052
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
252 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tonight)
Issued at 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

A weakening frontal boundary nearing the plateau will lose its
identity as the storm system that passed through the region last
night moves off into the Great Lakes and weak high pressure descends
into the Ozarks. At the same time the H5 trough will swing through
the region.  Clouds as a result will exit southwest to northeast
this evening. With upstream dew points in the middle teens to around
20 the degree by which surface winds weaken will be the main focus
in the short term. At this point anticipate readings to range about
10 degrees colder than last night.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Monday)
Issued at 234 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

A northwest flow will continue over the region through the middle
of this week which will bring seasonably cool and dry weather to
the area. A clipper like system and moisture starved will move
across the northern half of Missouri into the Ohio River Valley
region. There will be a limited potential for a small and quick
moving band of light snow to move across portions of central
Missouri into the eastern Ozarks. This will occur late Tuesday
night into early Wednesday morning. Very little to no accumulation
is expected at this time. The best potential for a light dusting
of light snow will be near the Lake of the Ozarks region and
northward.

Below average temperatures and dry weather is in the forecast for
Thanksgiving with mostly sunny skies. The weather pattern begins
to flatten out and become more zonal for the end of the week and
weekend. Temperatures will become seasonable and even slightly
above average by the weekend with mild southerly winds. Saturday
looks very nice with highs in the lower 60s. Another front will
try to move into the area by late Sunday into Monday with bring
additional clouds...a few showers...and cooler weather.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1119 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

West to northwest winds gusting over 20 mph will affect area
airports through the afternoon. Will also see some cold air
stratocumulus developing mainly over Joplin and Springfield
through the afternoon east of the 500 mb trough axis. Have
included some tempo ceilings just above mvfr to account for this.

Once afternoon mixing subsides and the 500 mb trough axis shifts
east of the area...we should stay vfr through the rest of the
forecast period. Expect winds to stay up at 5-10 knots through the
night...but could see some fog develop around Branson if winds
drop out with saturated ground and strong radiational cooling.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Runnels
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Terry





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