Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 061753

1153 AM CST Fri Mar 6 2015

...Update to Aviation Discussion for 18Z TAFS...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)

It was a cold March night over extreme southeast Kansas and the
Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures fell into the teens east of
Springfield, and into the lower 20s to the west.

Arctic high pressure finally shifted east of the region, forcing a
return of southerly breezes this morning.

These south winds combined with sunshine today will facilitate
temperatures ranging from the middle 40s to the lower 50s.
Temperatures in the lower 50s are likely out toward Joplin and

Temperatures tonight will fall into the lower 30s with no
precipitation expected.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)

Northwest flow will persist aloft through Saturday, bringing fair
weather to the Ozarks.

By Sunday an upper level trough will approach from the west. This
feature can be seen over the Baja of California, and will eject
toward southern Missouri. There are some signals from the GFS and
the ECMWF that indicate light rain spreading into the Ozarks
briefly Sunday afternoon. Otherwise the weekend looks dry.

A welcome pattern change will create some nice weather for the
Ozarks Tuesday and Wednesday. Look for afternoon highs in the
60s, and overnight lows in the 30s and 40s.

An upper level ridge of high pressure will shift across the
nation`s midsection, a type of weather system we haven`t seen in a
long time.

Conditions ideal for outdoor activities will continue through
Thursday and Friday as well. Wouldn`t be surprised to experience
temperatures in the 70s out toward Missouri`s border with Oklahoma
and Kansas either of those days.

The next chances for widespread rainfall will occur Friday night
into Saturday.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1145 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFS...VFR conditions will prevail
across the region this afternoon through Saturday and beyond.
Winds will be gusty out of the southwest this afternoon and will
weaken slightly this evening and overnight as they become more
southerly before becoming southwesterly again Saturday morning.




LONG TERM...Cramer
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