Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 181148

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
648 AM CDT SUN SEP 18 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)

It was a quiet night over extreme southeast Kansas and the
Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures cooled into the 60s under partly
cloudy skies. The airmass may have been a little too dry for much
fog development this morning. Therefore we will be taking the fog
out of the grids and hazardous weather outlook.

For today, a shortwave trough will approach from the west. This
feature will likely trigger a few showers and thunderstorms over
southern Missouri and southeast Kansas. Most locations north of
Interstate 44 will remain dry.

Rain should end by tonight as temperatures cool back into the low
to mid 60s.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)

A large ridge of high pressure will build across the nation`s
midsection through most of the work week. This will bring an
extended period of warm and dry weather. Look for temperatures to
warm well into the 80s on an afternoon basis through Friday.
Overnight lows in the 60s will be common.

It`s possible rain chances will finally increase next weekend.
The GFS and ECMWF suggest a long wave trough impacting the central
conus. These two solutions are different regarding the positioning
of this system, but very similar in suggesting a closed off low

Either way, it appears as though much cooler temperatures and rain
chances are on the way in the extended periods, which should
continue into the following work week (8 to 10 days from now).


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 644 AM CDT Sun Sep 18 2016

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: An upper level disturbance will bring
VFR ceilings and some isolated showers to the area but most of
the activity will stay south of the MO/AR line. Coverage of any
showers into southern MO is expected to be very limited.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...DSA is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.