Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 191139
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
639 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

.AVIATION...
12Z Issuance...VFR conditions expected for all sites through the
period. The cold front is nearing KDHT at this time and will push
through KGUY soon and KAMA near 23Z. Showers and thunderstorms seem
likely to affect each site but confidence on exact timing is low.
Winds are expected to remain aob 15kts except in thunderstorms until
the end of the period when northerly winds will begin to increase
and gust around 25kts.

Beat

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 440 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A cold front from a surface low near the southeastern Colorado and
southwest Kansas state line southwestward into eastern New Mexico
will push south and east across the Panhandles through the day today.
An upper trough will track east out of the central and southern
Rockies today and tonight. A 1020 mb surface high will build down
into the forecast area tonight through the weekend behind the cold
front. Convection which moved into the northwest half of the
Panhandles will continue to weaken and dissipate this
morning...however additional convection is expected to develop across
much of the forecast area by this afternoon. Cloud cover...the cold
front and increasing chances for convection is the main reasons for
max temps being lowered a category or so today.

After some lingering convection possible Saturday mainly across the
southern Texas Panhandle...drier conditions expected by 00Z Sunday
into Sunday morning. Another upper trough forecast to track east out
of the southern Rockies by 00Z Monday which may allow for some
possible convection mainly over the western Panhandles Sunday
afternoon. Otherwise...dry conditions to continue through Sunday
night. A series of upper troughs to track east out of the Four
Corners region early and middle of next week with convection chances
increasing again Monday through the end of the extended period...next
Thursday. A cooler and wetter pattern is in store for the forecast
area for much of next week. After a brief warmup next
Tuesday...another cold front to move through the Panhandles Tuesday
night or early Wednesday. Much cooler during the latter half of next
week.

Schneider

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

16/11



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