Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 241024
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
524 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The vigorous upper level low pressure system responsible for
Thursday`s severe weather and gradient wind events continues to
take shape over sern CO as of this writing. Satellite imagery
shows a very well wrapped up storm system. The surface low
pressure system is well identified over extreme sern CO and far
nern NM. These features are forecast to slide east southeast
across the area today. The steep pressure gradient will result in
very windy conditions for today. Have converted most of the area
to a High Wind Warning except the far eastern counties, where a
Wind Advisory has been issued. Have also included blowing dust in
the grids for srn TX Panhandle. Latest short range model progs are
all suggesting a more srn track to this storm system compared to
yesterday`s runs. Therefore, have expanded pops swd and ewd to
encompass nrn half of the fcst area for wraparound light
rainshowers today due to the expected more srn track. Improving
conditions expected by sunset this evening. Saturday should be
rather quiet weather-wise.

The next storm system slated for Sunday continues to be progged by
all models to track just north of our fcst area, with the primary
precipitation shield remaining north and east of the TX and OK
Panhandles. A dry cold front will track through the area on
Sunday with northwest to north winds in the breezy to possibly
windy categories.

A short break in the active weather pattern is anticipated Monday.
Another vigorous upper level low pressure system is forecast to
impact the srn high plains Tuesday into Thursday morning. Medium
range models continue to disagree some on the projected path and
speed of this particular storm system. Have continued to lean
towards a model consensus with all weather elements associated
with this storm system pending better model agreement.

Finally, medium range models are hinting at yet another upper
level low pressure system possibly affecting the OK and TX
Panhandles around next Friday and Saturday, the details of which
have yet to be ironed out.

Andrade

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                60  37  72  43  70 /  10   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  61  34  68  40  72 /  20   0   0   0   5
Boise City OK              52  31  68  39  63 /  40   0   0   0  20
Borger TX                  61  40  74  44  71 /  20   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              60  35  72  41  70 /  10   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  61  36  72  42  71 /   5   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               64  39  73  44  77 /   5   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 54  31  71  40  66 /  20   0   0   0   5
Guymon OK                  57  34  69  40  68 /  20   0   0   0   5
Hereford TX                61  35  72  41  72 /   5   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                64  37  68  42  75 /  20   0   0   0   5
Pampa TX                   62  38  72  43  73 /  10   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                66  40  73  44  78 /   5   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              69  41  74  45  80 /   5   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...High Wind Warning from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this
     evening for the following zones: Armstrong...Carson...
     Dallam...Deaf Smith...Donley...Gray...Hansford...Hartley...
     Hutchinson...Moore...Ochiltree...Oldham...Potter...
     Randall...Roberts...Sherman.

     Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening
     for the following zones: Collingsworth...Hemphill...
     Lipscomb...Wheeler.

OK...High Wind Warning from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this
     evening for the following zones: Cimarron...Texas.

     Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening
     for the following zones: Beaver.


&&

$$


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