Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 142219
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
419 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Temps this afternoon have climbed into the 70s in the western
Panhandles and low 80s in the east thanks to downsloping winds.
Similar conditions will be around tomorrow afternoon ahead of a
cold front slotted to come through between 4 PM and 10 PM. Temps
will drop behind the front and send overnight lows back to climo.
Friday`s highs will be 10 degrees below average. Temps rebound
Saturday as upper level northwest flow pushes clouds out of the
area behind a weak shortwave.

Sunday will see temps climb even more as upper level flow swings
back to southwesterly as a new long wave trough pushes south into
the Pacific Northwest. This system will push a second cold front
through the area on Tuesday, but still no sight of precip for the
majority of the area through the beginning of next week.

Beat

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Cloud cover today thinned a bit more than expected which allowed
dew points to drop and winds to increase. This has lead to the
issuance of a Red Flag Warning for the area this afternoon until 7
PM. While RH values are not expected to drop as much tomorrow
afternoon as they have today, winds will remain breezy tomorrow
and lead to elevated to critical fire weather conditions, with the
southwest TX Panhandle the most favored for critical. A cold front
will shift winds tomorrow evening from southwesterly to northerly
between 4 PM in the north and 10 PM in the south. Winds behind the
front will be 15-25 mph.

Elevated fire weather conditions may be possible again on Sunday,
mostly across the northern half of the area with RFTI values of
1-2, RH values in that area of 14 to 22 percent, and winds out of
the southwest at 15 to 20 mph.

Beat

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                48  70  29  43  33 /   0   0   5   5   5
Beaver OK                  46  73  25  44  28 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              41  67  22  43  29 /   0   0   5   0   0
Borger TX                  50  76  30  47  34 /   0   0   0   0   5
Boys Ranch TX              44  72  28  47  33 /   5   0   0   5   5
Canyon TX                  46  70  30  44  32 /   0   0   5   5   5
Clarendon TX               47  77  32  43  32 /   5   0  10   5  10
Dalhart TX                 41  69  24  44  29 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  45  75  24  45  29 /   0   0   5   0   0
Hereford TX                46  70  30  46  32 /   5   0   5   5   5
Lipscomb TX                50  78  28  42  31 /   5   0   0   0   5
Pampa TX                   49  76  28  44  32 /   0   0   5   5   5
Shamrock TX                46  79  32  43  31 /   5   0  10   5   5
Wellington TX              46  80  35  44  32 /   0   0  10   5  20

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CST this evening for the following
     zones: Armstrong...Carson...Collingsworth...Dallam...Deaf
     Smith...Donley...Gray...Hansford...Hartley...Hemphill...
     Hutchinson...Lipscomb...Moore...Ochiltree...Oldham...
     Potter...Randall...Roberts...Sherman...Wheeler.

OK...Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CST this evening for the following
     zones: Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.


&&

$$

15/16



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