Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46

000
FXUS63 KDDC 240850
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
350 AM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

...Updated for Short and Long Term...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 347 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

For today, lots of high and mid clouds will continue to spread
northward along with scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of
the main upper trough across New Mexico. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will become more abundant across much of the area as
heating and weak upward lift move across western Kansas this
afternoon. Some storms could become strong to severe with forecast
CAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg, and a 70-90kt upper jet overhead. A cold
front will slowly work southeastward across western Kansas and could
stall out around the Dodge City area this afternoon. Highs will be
tricky depending on how thick the clouds become, and currently have
low to mid 80s north of the cold front, and around 85 to 90 south of
Dodge City.

For tonight, the main upper wave across New Mexico begins to lift
northeastward into western Kansas with showers and thunderstorms
increasing to likely especially across far western Kansas closer to
the wave. The cold front continues to stall near Dodge City ahead of
the wave with good overrunning moisture. Heavy rainfall amounts are
most likely north of the front across the I-70 corridor. Lows
tonight will be in the low to mid 60s, except ahead of the cold
front in parts of south central Kansas, in the mid to upper 60s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 347 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

For Thursday into next Tuesday, the upper wave continues to move
across Kansas on Thursday with a good chance for showers and
thunderstorms. Strong to severe storms are again possible mainly
south and east of Dodge City near a frontal boundary. Chances for
more storms continue with more tropical and northern branch
shortwave troughs into Saturday, with decreasing chances after that
as upper level energy shifts more northward.

Highs on Thursday will be cool and only in the 70s with lots of
clouds and storms. Highs around 80 will be near Medicine Lodge. High
temps then warm slowly back into the low 80s on Friday, then mid to
upper 80s by Saturday into next Tuesday. Overnight lows will be in
the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1211 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

A cold front will gradually move into the TAF sites early this
morning, then stall out around KDDC. VFR conditions are forecast
much of the day, then scattered thunderstorms develop after 22Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  86  63  76  61 /  40  50  40  40
GCK  83  61  75  59 /  30  50  30  30
EHA  84  60  76  59 /  30  50  30  30
LBL  86  61  77  60 /  30  50  30  40
HYS  81  61  75  59 /  40  50  30  30
P28  91  68  83  65 /  50  60  60  60

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kruse
LONG TERM...Kruse
AVIATION...Kruse



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.