047
FXUS63 KDDC 260430
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1130 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

...Updated for Aviation...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 301 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

Upper level ridging will slowly develop over the plains Tuesday
and then persist through Friday. Surface high pressure will build
into the plains tonight and then gradually erode by Tuesday. An
upper level trough over the northern plains will progress into the
Midwest by Monday and then close off over the eastern part of the
country by late week. In response to the eastern United States
troughing, a backdoor cold front is expected to pass through
western Kansas by late Wednesday. Upper level troughing will
develop over the western United States by late next weekend.
A southern stream upper level system may approach the southern or
central high plains by Saturday or Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 301 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

With lessening winds this evening along with dewpoints in the 30s,
temperatures should fall upper 30s and 40s tonight, with the
coolest readings in far western Kansas. Temperatures on Monday
are expected to reach into the mid 70s, with some upper 70s
possible in west central Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 301 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

With upper level ridging developing and then persisting over the
plains through the week, precipitation is not likely. Highs will
warm into the 80s by Tuesday and then fall back into the 70s by
Thursday and Friday as a backdoor cold front passes. There are
small chances for rain by next weekend as a southern stream upper
level trough approaches.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1127 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

VFR conditions will continue. Broad surface high pressure will
move across western Kansas. Light north winds become light south
to southwest after 22-00Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  42  76  45  84 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  40  76  44  85 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  41  74  44  83 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  43  75  44  84 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  39  76  45  81 /   0   0   0   0
P28  48  74  46  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Finch
SHORT TERM...Finch
LONG TERM...Finch
AVIATION...Kruse