442
FXUS63 KDDC 290801
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
301 AM CDT THU SEP 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 109 AM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

The next couple of days will be highly influenced by Great Plains
surface high, with light easterly surface winds across the area. The
NAM hints at the possibility of a little radiation fog
development where the winds go light in central Kansas early this
morning, however this is probably not likely given the current
surface dew point spreads. A cooler airmass will also lead to
highs generally in the low to mid 70s over most of the area Today.
Upper 70`s is more possible on the higher terrain, say from
Johnson to Elkhart.


.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 109 AM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

Friday will be generally a similar day to Today with pleasant 70s
and generally light winds from the southeast. Models warm
temperatures slightly into the mid and upper 70s, even to around
80 in the far west with a better surface pressure gradient and
nearly breezy south winds. The warming trend continues through
Saturday before the next chance for showers or thunderstorms
returns with the models indicate a weak impulse moving through the
flow with potential to help realize convective available
potential energy. A much stronger forcing lift mechanism returns
Tuesday night into Wednesday ahead of a deep Pacific trough with
embedded closed upper low swings through the northern High Plains.
Precipitation probabilities are best across central Kansas during
this timeframe.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

The axis of surface high pressure will extend through central
Kansas this morning, leading to light easterly surface winds and
VFR conditions through the TAF period.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  44  71  46  73 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  43  73  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  47  76  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  46  74  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  43  69  46  71 /   0   0   0   0
P28  47  70  47  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Russell
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...Russell