Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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694
FXUS63 KDDC 291937
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
237 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...Updated short and long term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

Wrap around moisture with the current system will continue to
bring scattered showers to western Kansas this evening into the
overnight period. The rain will mostly be confined to east of
US-83 until 00Z then slowly slide off eastward as the evening
progresses. The rain will be confined to central and south central
Kansas after midnight with precipitation moving out of the area by
sunrise tomorrow. Skies will be cloudy across the CWA through
midnight with decreasing cloud cover from west to east. Clouds
look to be observed across central and south central Kansas by
late morning with mostly clear skies expected across all the
forecast area by sunset tomorrow. Winds through tomorrow morning
look to be from a northerly direction then shift to and easterly
direction as we head into tomorrow night. As for temperatures,
lows tonight look to range from around freezing across west
central Kansas to low 40s across south central Kansas. Highs
tomorrow look to range from the low 50s across central Kansas to
mid 60s across far southwestern Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

There will be a brief break in between systems Thursday night into
Friday morning, with increased cloudiness Friday afternoon. Mostly
cloudy skies are expected by Friday night with rain chances
increasing from west to east. This system initially has the same
kind of track the first one did, but then splits as it starts to
exit the Rockies. One upper level low will move over Kansas with
the other sliding well south into the Southern Plains.
Nevertheless, precipitation is expected to be possible this
weekend. This system then moves out the area Sunday with
decreasing cloudiness. Models then suggest another system moving
into the area by the mid part of next week. However, confidence in
timing and track is low. Temperatures throughout the long term
forecast look to fluctuate from the 50s Friday, mid 40s northwest
to upper 50s southeast Saturday, around 60 degrees Sunday, then in
the 60s for the first part of next week. Lows will generally be in
the 30s with the exception of central and south central Kansas
where low 40s will be possible.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1128 AM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

Widespread IFR and LIFR conditions for the rest of the day across
the area combining with periods of light rain and winds gusting
out of the north from 20-35 kts.  IFR and LIFR conditions should
gradually give way to VFR after 12Z Thursday with winds out of the
north continuing strong from 15-25 kts.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  37  57  35  58 /  70  10   0   0
GCK  36  60  37  56 /  60   0   0  10
EHA  35  65  38  60 /  50   0   0  20
LBL  36  63  37  60 /  50   0   0  10
HYS  38  53  36  54 /  80  10   0   0
P28  41  55  36  61 /  60  20   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Tatro



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