806
FXUS63 KDDC 280555
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1255 AM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook of Marginal Risk for our
  southeastern counties mainly along the Oklahoma line for slow-
  moving thunderstorm potential (late this afternoon/evening).

- Saturday and Sunday hottest days of the 7-day period with
  widespread mid to upper 90s and heat indices around 100
  degrees.

- Next cold front will bring in higher rainfall chances Sunday
  Night into Monday, but severe weather risk is quite small
  given poor wind shear environment.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 343 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Surface toughing near the less of the Colorado Rockies is
forecast to spread eastward, morphing into more of a a broad
surface trough across the Central High Plains (KS/CO state line)
by midday Saturday. This tough will be the impetus for higher
terrain thunderstorms to develop this afternoon and perhaps
linger into far western Kansas counties overnight, but the
probability for thunderstorms will be less than 10% spatially.
Additionally the area is only on a general thunderstorm outlook
this afternoon and the odds of severe weather are less than 5%.
Efficient rain producing thunderstorms however in the southeast
this evening cannot be ruled out where the excessive rainfall
outlook is in the marginal category east of a Coldwater to Pratt
line.

The warmest temperatures of the week will be the period through
the weekend. Highs in this timeframe will be in the mid 90s
with overnight lows in the mid and upper 60s. Areas west of a
Hays to Garden and Johnson line will fall into the moderate
category Saturday afternoon (as it is the warmest day) which can
impact some industries and health systems. This keeps out heat
risk at the level 1 out of 4, meaning, the heat will impact the
folks who are most sensitive to heat, specifically those without
adequate cooling or hydration.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1249 AM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

Aviation weather will remain fairly quiet through this TAF
period ending late Saturday evening. Prevailing wind will remain
from the south with no major wind shift forecast in terms of
direction or speed. Thunderstorm potential at any specific
terminal DDC, GCK, LBL, HYS is too low to incorporate into the
TAF at this time.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Russell
AVIATION...Umscheid