Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 170533
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1233 AM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017

...UPDATE TO SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1217 AM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017

A few showers/isolated thunderstorms may linger across central and
eastern portions of southwest Kansas early this morning as an upper
level shortwave lifts northeast out of northeast Colorado across
northwest Kansas and into southwest Nebraska. A southeast upslope
flow and enough instability will be present to support possible
periods of showers and a few isolated thunderstorms through this
evening. Meanwhile, upper level ridging will begin to slowly build
in across the Central Rockies to finish out the period Monday night.
A warming trend will continue today as prevailing southeries draw
warmer air northward into western Kansas. Should see highs well up
into the 90s(F) this afternoon with lows generally down into the
70s(F) tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 314 PM CDT Sun Jul 16 2017

Even hotter weather can be expected by Tuesday and on through the
week as upper level ridging prevails. There are only small chances
for thunderstorms by next weekend as mid level moisture arrives
from the tropics. High temperatures during the week may rise to
near or even slightly above 100 degrees with lows mainly in the
high 60s to mid 70s. The wet spring and summer experienced across
much of central and western Kansas may prevent temperatures from
getting too far above 100.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through Monday evening.
Light southeasterly winds will persist overnight as a lee side trough
of low pressure slowly develops across eastern Colorado. Winds will
turn more southerly mid to late Monday morning while increasing to
15 to 25kt as the lee side trough strengthens.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  68  94  71  97 /  20  10  10   0
GCK  66  95  70  97 /  30  10   0   0
EHA  65  95  69  97 /  30  10  10   0
LBL  67  96  70  98 /  30  10  10   0
HYS  68  95  72  99 /  20  20  20  10
P28  72  95  72  98 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...Finch
AVIATION...JJohnson



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