Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 170603

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1203 AM CST Sun Dec 17 2017


.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1201 AM CST Sun Dec 17 2017

Lingering areas of light rain across south central and eastern
portions of southwest Kansas will come to an end by mid morning as
the triggering upper level shortwave lifts further east into the
southern Great Lakes Region. A secondary upper level shortwave
moving across the Colorado Rockies, will help dislodge the
stationary frontal boundary across southwest Kansas and push it
into Northern Oklahoma later this afternoon, allowing for drier
air to spread across the Western High Plains bringing an end to
precip chances through the remainder of the period. Colder air
filtering southward into western Kansas today will send H85
temperatures down to around 0C by this afternoon. Under mostly
cloudy skies through the first part of the day, look for highs
only up into the 40s(F) across west central and much of southwest
Kansas. The lower 50s(F) are likely ahead of the boundary in
south central Kansas. Surface high pressure will sink southward
across western Kansas into the South Plains Sunday night
reinforcing the colder air mass across the high plains. Should see
lows down into the teens(F) in west central Kansas to the 20s(F)
further east.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 317 PM CST Sat Dec 16 2017

A dry weather pattern continues through Wednesday with partly
cloudy to mostly clear skies. Long range models then suggest a
strong system to dive south across eastern Canada and into the
Central Rockies by Thursday. This system will increase mid level
moisture across the area with a chance of rain or snow Thursday
afternoon into Thursday night. It is too early to tell any snow
totals but as of now snow amounts look to be low. This could
change over the next couple model run cycles. As for temperatures,
highs will generally reach into the mid 50s to low 60s Monday
through Wednesday with lows in the 20s. Much cooler temperatures
are in store Thursday into this weekend with highs in the 30s and
lows in the teens.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1106 PM CST Sat Dec 16 2017

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites overnight. Low level
stratus is expected to develop behind a cold front as it begins to
push southeast across the remainder of southwest and central Kansas
generally after daybreak. MVFR cigs will be possible in the
vicinity of all TAF sites after 12Z with the potential for brief
IFR cigs at KGCK, KLBL, and KDDC. Widespread VFR conditions will
then return Sunday afternoon. Light southerly winds will persist
overnight ahead of a stalled frontal boundary stretching from
extreme southwest Kansas northeast into north central Kansas.
Winds will then turn northerly 10 to 20kt generally after 12Z
behind the cold front as it begins to edge southeastward into
northern Oklahoma.


DDC  28  45  23  58 /  10   0   0   0
GCK  25  42  22  57 /  10   0   0   0
EHA  24  43  26  61 /  10   0   0   0
LBL  26  45  23  61 /  10   0   0   0
HYS  28  43  24  55 /  10   0   0   0
P28  38  50  27  59 /  20   0   0   0




LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...JJohnson is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.