Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 250750
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
250 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 219 AM CDT Mon Jul 25 2016

Thunderstorms will continue for a few more hours at least as the
850 moisture transport was in a favorable setup to keep the MCS
moving across the area during the overnight hours. The Convective
allowing models show some semblance of an MCV lasting through the
mid morning hours. Then the next issue will be to figure just how
much of an effect the outflow boundary and previous rainfall will
have on lowering highs for this afternoon compared to yesterday.
The NAM 4km/NMM are consistent on redeveloping convection in the
panhandles later this evening once again, with any activity
farther north remaining mainly isolated.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 219 AM CDT Mon Jul 25 2016

No significant changes to the extended period, as main focus was
on active weather. Temperatures continue to be expected around
climatological highs and lows. Upper flow transitions slowly from
broad weak westerly to more NW by end of week with opportunities
for nw flow impulses.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1244 AM CDT Mon Jul 25 2016

Clusters of thunderstorms with bases between 5-10kft cbs are
expected to move thhough the area over the next few hours,
weakening by 11 to 12 UTC. Locally heavy rain and frequent CG
lightning is expected, with locally 30 to 40 mph surface wind
gusts that are quite brief.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  91  69  92  70 /  30  20  20  20
GCK  90  68  92  68 /  20  20  20  20
EHA  92  68  92  67 /  20  20  20  30
LBL  93  69  91  69 /  20  20  20  20
HYS  89  69  92  70 /  20  20  20  20
P28  94  72  93  72 /  40  30  30  20

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Russell
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...Russell


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