Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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103
FXUS63 KDDC 221800
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1200 PM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

...Updated Aviation Section...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 115 AM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

Snow and blowing snow conditions will linger across central Kansas
through mid to late morning as the core of the upper level system
across eastern Kansas lifts northeast through the Central Plains,
effectively bringing an end to precip chances across western Kansas
this afternoon through the remainder of the period. Strong northwest
winds will gradually subside through this afternoon and evening as
a deepening surface low shifts east-northeast out of eastern Kansas,
in turn relaxing the pressure gradient across western Kansas. Limited
to elevated fire weather conditions will exist this afternoon due in
part to the gusty northwest winds and lowering relative humidity.

Cold air surging into western Kansas today will result in much
lower high temperatures today. Expect highs only into the 30s(F)
across central Kansas this afternoon, especially with cloud cover
holding on the longest here. Highs in the 40s(F) are more likely
further south and southwest. Look for lows down into the teens(F)
across west central Kansas to the 20s(F) in south central Kansas
under mostly skies with much lighter winds.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 130 AM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

A much drier pattern will prevail across western Kansas through at
least Thursday as ridging aloft building across the Intermountain
West shifts out into the Central Plains during the week. A west-
northwest downslope flow will help erode the cold air mass across
the Western High Plains Tuesday, allowing H85 temperatures to push
up near to slightly above 0C in the afternoon. Widespread highs in
the 40s(F) can be expected under plenty of sunshine. The gradual
warming trend will continue through Thursday as lee side troughing
develops and strengthens across eastern Colorado in response to
the ridging aloft moving across the Western High Plains. This will
easily push highs well above normal Thursday afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1156 AM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

Impacts from the winter storm will improve at HYS terminal as
visibility rises to greater than 6 miles by late afternoon. Until
then, expect 1 to 3 miles in blowing snow with north winds in the
25 to 30 knot range. There will be intermittent gusts of 45 to 50
knots, mainly at DDC. Winds will drop off significantly this
evening as the storm pulls away and the pressure gradient weakens.
VFR conditions will resume tonight and continue for the
foreseeable future.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  43  22  49  21 /  20   0   0   0
GCK  42  20  46  19 /  20   0   0   0
EHA  48  21  48  21 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  50  20  49  19 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  37  20  43  19 /  80   0   0   0
P28  46  24  51  23 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning until 3 PM CST this afternoon for KSZ030-031-
045-046-064>066-078>081.

Winter Weather Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for KSZ030-
031-045-046.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...JJohnson
AVIATION...Umscheid



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