Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 170758
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
258 AM CDT Wed May 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The current area of rain/thunderstorms will move east early this
morning, and should be east of our forecast area by about 7 am,
leading to a breezy, but dry day.

On Thursday, low-level moisture will surge back northwest across
our forecast area, setting the stage for another round of severe
thunderstorms. COnditions Thursday afternoon and evening
generally resemble those of this past afternoon/evening, although
with a somewhat more northerly area of the greatest chance of
severe storms.

A cold front will arrive Friday, and there will be yet another
risk of severe storms, mainly along and south of this front. It
appears that the risk will be mainly near/southeast of I-44. As
this system moves slowly southeast, heavy rain will be likely from
southwest Oklahoma to central Oklahoma. Amounts may not be
sufficient for widespread flooding, but some localized flooding
is likely.

Rain finally comes to an end on Sunday, but another wave coming
south across the Plains will bring rain/thunderstorm chances back
into the forecast Monday and Tuesday. With that system, the risk
of severe storms will be substantially lower than those of this
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  84  62  85  67 /  10  10  20  40
Hobart OK         86  57  86  64 /  10   0  50  50
Wichita Falls TX  89  63  88  67 /  10   0  50  50
Gage OK           83  53  84  57 /   0   0  30  50
Ponca City OK     83  59  86  66 /  10  10  20  60
Durant OK         88  71  86  67 /  10  10  20  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

09/23



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