Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 201729
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1229 PM CDT WED AUG 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL APPLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A FEW MID TO UPPER
CLOUDS...AND AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO...REMAIN PRESENT S AND E
OF OUN...BUT THESE WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. SSW WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER GUSTS CAN
BE EXPECTED AT MOST TERMINALS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 614 AM CDT WED AUG 20 2014/

AVIATION...
12Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD WITH
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS. RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE TAF SITES TODAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 327 AM CDT WED AUG 20 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SOME SPRINKLES/SHOWERS... CURRENTLY IN NORTH TEXAS... COULD MOVE
NORTH INTO PARTS OF OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE... UPPER HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER WILL BUILD WEST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS... ALTHOUGH
MODELS DISAGREE HOW FAR WEST. THIS HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH AN UPR
TROUGH IN THE WESTERN U.S. WILL LEAD TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER OR JUST
WEST OF THE FA. DEPENDING ON WHERE THIS SETS UP... THERE COULD BE A
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/STORMS IN NORTHWEST/WESTERN PARTS OF THE CWA.
HOWEVER... RIGHT NOW EXPECT RAIN TO REMAIN WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE
FA UNTIL THE WEEKEND.

MOST LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE HOT TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OVER AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.

MODELS SHOW THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER SHIFTING EAST OVER THE WEEKEND
WHICH COULD LEAD TO A BETTER CHANCE OF SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER AT LEAST
PART OF THE AREA. WITH THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A POSSIBLE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN OR NEAR THE FA... THERE WILL BE MORE OF AN
OPPORTUNITY FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS AT LEAST NORTHWEST
PARTS OF THE AREA LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODELS
THEN SHOW A TROUGH MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH A FRONT MOVING
INTO THE AREA TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL CONT A
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE FA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  97  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         74  99  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 100  75 101 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           75  98  74  99 /   0  10  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     76  98  76  99 /   0   0  10   0
DURANT OK         74  97  74  98 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

26/03/03


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