Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 251137 AAA
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
637 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017

.AVIATION...
25/12Z TAFs. VFR conditions expected to prevail with light east to
southeast winds. Periods of broken mid-level clouds expected
across the region with most persistence across western Oklahoma
terminals. Will mention Prob30 across most of western Oklahoma
terminals late today and this evening as scattered TSRA may try to
move in from the Panhandles.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 400 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Northwesterly flow with embedded speed maxima will keep PoPs going
mainly across western/northern Oklahoma and western north Texas
today into Tuesday. Mid-level moist layer not going anywhere
anytime soon either, yielding periods of cloud cover and as any
weak lift passes over region, at least isolated showers and
perhaps a few storms will be possible.

More organized trough still progd to move over Central Plains
Tuesday night and Wednesday, which will yield storm chances for
northern Oklahoma. Stronger and more amplified wave progd
similarly by both GFS and ECM to affect region with a frontal
boundary Friday into next weekend. This front would be a focus for
organized rain activity with favorable upper support. However,
dprog/dt leaves confidence decreasing for widespread and/or
prolonged rain activity that previous runs suggested. Will leave
PoPs going late week-weekend but will go much lower than consensus
initializations.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  85  64  85  66 /  10  10  10  10
Hobart OK         82  64  84  66 /  20  20  20  20
Wichita Falls TX  85  66  85  68 /  10  20  20  20
Gage OK           80  61  84  64 /  30  30  20  30
Ponca City OK     84  62  86  64 /  10  10  10  20
Durant OK         86  65  86  67 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

06/11



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