Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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611
FXUS64 KOUN 240337
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1037 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.DISCUSSION...


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions and light to moderate south winds will persist
under high pressure.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 924 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016/

UPDATE...
Another warm night with some high clouds expected across northern
portions of the area overnight. Overall going forecast looks good.
No major changes but did make some minor tweaks to dewpoints and
sky cover to show current trends.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 704 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016/

DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...
VFR conditions and light to moderate south winds will persist
under high pressure.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 245 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Very hot conditions continue today, with temps already exceeding
104 across northern OK. Similar conditions are expected tomorrow
with the mid to upper ridge axis remaining overhead. A cold front,
however, will start to nudge into southwest KS during the late
afternoon and early evening hours. It will come close enough to
extreme NW OK to warrant some SChc PoPs there. These PoPs will
then nudge slowly southward through Monday as the effective
boundary does the same. The I40 corridor may even get in on the
action. Then, during the day Monday, a mid level low (currently
over NE AR) will move into SE OK. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will accompany this feature with plenty of moisture,
DPVA, and decreasing mid level temps. Barely mentionable PoPs
will continue through Tue as the ridge shifts westward and a mid
to upper shear axis ends up over OK. Best chances look to be
across NW OK right nw. Temperatures will also begin to cool by
early next week considering all of the previous.

It still appears the ridge will remain west of our region through
next week, leading to northerly flow aloft and increasing rain
chances as several waves move int the central plains. Before the
weekend, the highest chances may accompany an upper level
shortwave Wed thru Thu. The aforementioned pattern change and
increasing precipitation chances should result in temps dropping
to near or even below average by mid to late next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  78 100  76  98 /   0   0  20  20
Hobart OK         75 103  76 101 /   0   0  10  20
Wichita Falls TX  75 102  77 101 /   0   0   0  20
Gage OK           77 102  73  98 /  10  10  30  30
Ponca City OK     78 101  77  97 /   0   0  30  20
Durant OK         77  99  77  95 /   0  20  10  40

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Sunday for OKZ005>008-011>013-
     017>020-024>032-039>043-045>048-050>052.

TX...None.
&&

$$

25/09/09



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