000
FXUS64 KOUN 091145
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
545 AM CST MON DEC 9 2013

.AVIATION...
09/12Z TAFS...PRIMARILY MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS
TERMINALS. IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY AT KPNC
THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHER PROBABILITY FOR MODERATE SNOW BANDS TO
SET UP. WILL MENTION -SN IN TERMINALS NEAR AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE-40. MVFR CIGS SEEN EARLY THIS MORNING EXPECTED TO GIVE
WAY TO BKN-OVC VFR CIGS BY 18Z THEN CLEARING TOWARD AND AFTER
00Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 440 AM CST MON DEC 9 2013/

DISCUSSION...
LIFT AND MOISTENING OF MID-LEVELS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH SOME LIGHT ECHOES BEGINNING TO SHOW UP ON RADAR
ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. NONE OF THE PRECIP IS REACHING THE
GROUND YET...BUT MOISTENING WILL TAKE PLACE THROUGH THE MORNING.
ALTHOUGH THERE WILL LIKELY BE A LARGE AREA OF A DUSTING TO JUST
UNDER AN INCH OF SNOW TODAY...MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE-40...
PROBABILITIES FOR ACCUMULATIONS OF MORE THAN AN INCH WILL BE
HIGHEST ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND POINTS EAST. WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FAR NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
TO HANDLE POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF UP TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW. MODERATE
SNOW EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH WESTERN EDGE OF FRONTOGENETIC
BANDS IN THE ADVISORY AREA EXTENDING INTO SW MISSOURI. SNOW WILL
TAPER OFF THIS EVENING.

FOR MOST LOCATIONS TEMPERATURES WILL STAY BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH
THE WEEK AS REPEATED COLD FRONTS PASS OVER REGION. MOST OF THE
WARMING AHEAD OF THE FRONTS WILL BE SEEN OVER FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA
AND AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. AFTER TODAY...THE NEXT
CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL COME THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AS SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW APPROACHES. FAIRLY ROBUST WAA PATTERN
SETS UP...INITIALLY ATOP COLD BOUNDARY LAYER. THIS WILL PROMPT
KEEPING MENTION OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE PRECIP LOOKS TO CHANGE OVER
TO RAIN DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME...NO SIGNIFICANT ICE
IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  26  14  36  20 /  20  10   0   0
HOBART OK         25  13  35  19 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  30  16  37  22 /  10  10   0   0
GAGE OK           23   9  40  15 /  40  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     23  11  34  16 /  70  60   0   0
DURANT OK         34  18  37  23 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST
     TONIGHT FOR OKZ007-008-012-013.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

26/11